In this busy awards weekend (Critics Choice is tomorrow and PGA on Saturday), the Directors Guild also weighs in with their best of on Saturday. The winner of the DGA Feature Film race correlates with the Oscar winner the vast majority of the time. That would be 21 of 24 occurrences in the 21st century. The guild also honors filmmakers in the documentary field and those making their first feature.
Let’s walk through all 3 competitions with a winner selection and a runner-up.
Feature Film
Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez), Sean Baker (Anora), Edward Berger (Conclave), Brady Corbet (The Brutalist), James Mangold (A Complete Unknown)
The only difference between the Academy’s quintet and here is Berger in this mix and Coralie Fargeat (The Substance) in contention for Oscar. This is a very easy pick. Even if The Brutalist doesn’t take BP at the big show (and that’s quite possible), Corbet is the overwhelming favorite.
PREDICTED WINNER: Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
Runner-Up: Is there one? I suppose Sean Baker in Anora
Documentaries
Brendan Bellomo and Slava Leontyev (Porcelain War), Julian Brave NoiseCat and Emily Kassie (Sugarcane), Johan Grimonprez (Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat), Ibrahim Nash’at (Hollywoodland), Natalie Rae and Angela Patton (Daughters)
There is less of a match with DGA and Oscar in this competition. Porcelain, Sugarcane, and Soundtrack are all up at the Academy while Daughters was an unexpected snub. This is admittedly guesswork with Oscar frontrunner No Other Land contending but I’ll roll with Porcelain.
PREDICTED WINNER: Brendan Bellomo and Slava Leontyev, Porcelain War
Runner-Up: Natalie Rae and Angela Patton, Daughters
FIRST-TIME FEATURE FILM
Payal Kapadia (All We Imagine as Light), Megan Park (My Old Ass), RaMell Ross (Nickel Boys), Halfdan Ullmann Tøndel (Armand), Sean Wang (Dídi)
All five pics have their admirers, but this should come down to Kapadia vs. Ross. I’m giving the latter the slight edge.
PREDICTED WINNER: RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys
Runner-Up: Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light
I’ll have recap up (along with PGA) this weekend!
