Way back in 2002, My Big Fat Greek Wedding became the sleeper hit of the year with a $241 million gross vs. its teeny $5 million budget. In 2016, a long gestating sequel emerged to a nearly $18 million opening weekend. Yet it faded quickly with a $59 million overall take.

The third edition of the rom com franchise is out September 8th. Nia Vardolos not only returns in the starring role, but she handles directorial duties. The ensemble cast includes John Corbett, Louis Mandylor, Elena Kampouris, Gia Carides, Joey Fatone, Lainie Kazan, and Andrea Martin.

I would anticipate this series will continue to see diminishing returns. Frankly, the performance of part 2 made it a surprise that Focus Features RSVP’d for a follow-up. This could struggle to make $10 million. I’ll put it just over that.

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 opening weekend prediction: $10.3 million

For my The Nun II prediction, click here:

The Nun II Box Office Prediction