Tag: L. Frank Baum

Wicked: For Good Box Office Prediction

Wicked: For Good sweeps into theaters November 21st and it should eclipse what part one accomplished out of the gate last year. Jon M. Chu returns directing the second half of the saga based on the hugely popular Stephen Schwartz/Winnie Holzman Broadway play. The stage musical, of course, draws its inspiration from the written works of L. Frank Baum and 1939’s iconic The Wizard of Oz. Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande are back headlining along with supporting players Jonathan Bailey, Ethan Slater, Bowen Yang, Marissa Bode, Michelle Yeoh, and Jeff Goldblum.

Last November, Wicked drew critical kudos, 10 Oscar nominations, and a $112 million domestic opening on its way to $473 million overall stateside. The goodwill left over is expected to mean a larger debut upfront. The Universal release could contend for 2025’s largest premiere thus far. In order to accomplish that feat, it would need to surpass the $162 million that A Minecraft Movie brought in. That is certainly within Good‘s range and I wouldn’t be surprised if it manages the record. I’m putting it a bit below Minecraft‘s figure though it should play well throughout the holidays.

Wicked: For Good opening weekend prediction: $158.1 million

For my Sisu: Road to Revenge prediction, click here:

Sisu: Road to Revenge Box Office Prediction

For my Rental Family prediction, click here:

Rental Family Box Office Prediction

Legends of Oz: Dorothy’s Return Box Office Prediction

Legends of Oz: Dorothy’s Return is an animated feature from the upstart Summertime Entertainment opening Friday. It comes with a healthy estimated budget of $70 million. It’s based on The Wonderful Wizard of Oz by L. Frank Baum and I think we’re all familiar with the massively successful pictures his works have spawned. It features the voices of “Glee” actress Lea Michele, as well as Kelsey Grammer, Dan Aykroyd, Jim Belushi, Martin Short, and Patrick Stewart.

This begs the question: is it just me or does this thing seem to be gaining very little traction with audiences? I would offer that the marketing push for Oz has been relatively minor, even though it’s scheduled to open on a hefty 2800+ screens. Perhaps the Oz affiliation alone could propel this to a double digit opening, but I don’t even think it gets to that minor distinction. There is a shortage of kiddie related pics now that Rio 2 has made the bulk of its gross (though The Amazing Spider-Man 2 should still be doing quite well in weekend #2).

I’m predicting that family audiences will mostly ignore Dorothy’s Return and decide that when it comes to spending money on this, there’s no place like staying home.

Legends of Oz: Dorothy’s Return opening weekend prediction: $5.7 million

For my Neighbors prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/05/04/neighbors-box-office-prediction/

For my Moms’ Night Out prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/05/04/moms-night-out-box-office-prediction/