Tag: kristin scott thomas

Todd’s Early 2017 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

And so it begins!

Fall season is upon us and that means my Oscar prediction posts will be ramping up on this here blog. I will be following the same formula as I did last year. Six “early” prediction posts on Picture, Director, and the four acting races. It’s my goal to have all of these posted by Monday, if not earlier.

From there, every Thursday I’ll bring you my weekly prediction posts all the way to the nominations next year. In both these initial posts covering the six categories and for the weekly posts starting next week, I’ll list my predicted nominees for Best Picture as well as 25 pictures total as possibilities. For the other races (the two Screenplay categories will be included with the weekly posts), I’ll list my five predicted nominees along with ten other ranked possibilities. From week to week, you’ll be able to track the up and down movement of my predictions, who and what have dropped out, and who and what have joined the mix.

We begin today with Best Supporting Actress and just like any category at this juncture (just as festival season is beginning), everything is up in the air. I would say Hong Chau’s work in Downsizing is pretty darn close to a sure thing with Melissa Leo’s role in Novitiate close as well (as long as her campaign doesn’t switch to Lead Actress).

As far as history with my previous year’s earliest predictions in Supporting Actress, 2014 and 2016 yielded two of the eventual five nominees while 2015 gave us three.

Let’s get to it, shall we?

TODD’S FIRST PREDICTIONS – BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Hong Chau, Downsizing

Melissa Leo, Novitiate

Kristin Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour

Michelle Williams, The Greatest Showman

Other Possibilities:

Kirsten Dunst, The Beguiled

Carrie Fisher, Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Samantha Isler, Molly’s Game

Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread

Tatiana Maslany, Stronger

Julianne Moore, Suburbicon

Michelle Pfeiffer, mother!

Margot Robbie, Goodbye Christopher Robin

Millicent Simmonds, Wonderstruck

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

And there you have it! I’ll have Supporting Actor up shortly…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xopkvg8Xyjw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AXCTMGYUg9A

Oscar History: 1996

1996 was a rather lackluster year for movies. The year’s releases, as a whole, didn’t come close to matching the couple years before it or what would follow in 1997.

The Oscars for ’96 reflected that. The big winner for the evening: the late Anthony Minghella’s The English Patient, starring Ralph Fiennes, Kristin Scott Thomas, and Juliette Binoche. A good film, yes, but one of the less memorable Best Picture winners of the last two decades.

Patient would win over Fargo, the Coen Brothers quirky crime comedy/drama masterpiece. My vote certainly would’ve gone to that.

Jerry Maguire, Cameron Crowe’s sports drama/comedy, would also earn a nomination, along with indie titles Secrets&Lies (from director Mike Leigh) and Shine (from director Scott Hicks).

Other pictures that should have merited consideration in my view: Danny Boyle’s Trainspotting and Stanley Tucci and Campbell Scott’s Big Night.

Minghella would win Best Director for Patient, beating out Joel Coen, Mike Leigh, Scott Hicks, and Milos Forman for The People Vs. Larry Flynt. Crowe was the only director not nominated whose film was.

In the Best Actor race, Geoffrey Rush would be honored for Shine over Tom Cruise in Maguire, Ralph Fiennes in Patient, Woody Harrelson for Flynt, and Billy Bob Thornton for his very memorable performance in Sling Blade. 

The Best Actor category gave a perfect opportunity for the Academy to honor comedy, which they rarely do. Eddie Murphy deserved a nod for his brilliant work in The Nutty Professor. The Academy, as usual, didn’t take the bait.

Frances McDormand would deservedly take the Best Actress prize for her terrific performance in Fargo. She beat out Brenda Blethyn in Secrets&Lies, Diane Keaton in Marvin’s Room, Kristin Scott Thomas for Patient, and Emily Watson in Breaking the Waves. Other deserving nominees not to make the list: Courtney Love for People Vs. Larry Flynt and Laura Dern for Citizen Ruth.

In the Best Supporting Actor race, Cuba Gooding Jr. inexplicably won for his part in Jerry Maguire over a much better choice, William H. Macy’s fabulous work in Fargo. Other nominees: Edward Norton in Primal Fear, Armin Mueller-Stahl for Shine, and James Woods in Ghosts of Mississippi. 

Once again, the Academy could have honored comedy here. An obvious choice would have been Nathan Lane in The Birdcage. For me, personally, I would’ve gone way outside the box and honored Bill Murray’s scene-stealing turn in Kingpin. Watch this compilation and tell me I’m wrong.

Juliette Binoche was a surprise winner for Best Supporting Actress for Patient, beating the odds-on favorite Lauren Bacall for The Mirror Has Two Faces. Other nominees: Joan Allen for The Crucible, Barbara Hershey for Portrait of a Lady, and Marianne Jean-Baptiste for Secrets&Lies.

Finally, while Fargo won Original Screenplay (as it should have), they should have made room to nominate the excellent screenplay for Doug Liman’s Swingers with Jon Favreau and Vince Vaughn.

All in all, the 1996 Oscars reflected the lackluster year that it was. I shall return soon with a recap of the 1997 ceremony.