Oscar Predictions: Young Woman and the Sea

Former and future Star Wars lead Daisy Ridley is generating some career best notices for Young Woman and the Sea, out this weekend in limited fashion. Originally slated for a Disney Plus only rollout, Norwegian filmmaker Joachim Rønning (director of 2012’s internationally nominated Kon-Tiki) helms the true life 1920s set sports biopic. Ridley plays swimming champion Gertrude Ederle with a supporting cast including Christopher Eccleston, Stephen Graham, Tilda Cobham-Hervey, Kim Bodnia, and Glenn Fleshler.

The Disney/Bruckheimer production has not been heavily marketed and the studios may have missed an opportunity. I’m sure it’ll eventually gain eyeballs once it does move to streaming. Reviews indicate it’s an old-fashioned solid crowdpleaser. The RT score is 86%.

We saw Annette Bening nominated at the preceding Oscars in Actress for inhabiting a well-known swimmer in Nyad. I doubt that will occur with Ridley despite many critics lapping it up. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Armand

A fight between two elementary school boys leads to other drama in the Norwegian film Armand from first time director Halfdan Ullmann Tøndel. It has premiered at Cannes prior to its planned September bow in its native land. Domestic distribution is pending. Renate Reinsve, who wowed critics in 2021’s The Worst Person in the World, stars alongside Ellen Dorrit Petersen, Thea Lambrechts Vaulen, Endre Hellesveit, Øystein Røger, and Vera Veijovic.

There is praise for Reinsve’s work and the cinematography, but some of the reviews are tempered in their enthusiasm. The RT score is 75%. It wouldn’t surprise me if Norway goes with Armand as their selection for International Feature Film. The aforementioned Worst Person was a contender in the race three years back and lost to Drive My Car. Prior to that, you have to go back to 2012 and Kon-Tiki for the previous Norwegian nominee (they’re 0 for 6 total as far as wins).

Perhaps Armand can make the shortlist, but I don’t see it in the final quintet. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…