Tag: Independent Spirit Awards

Oscar Predictions: Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma marks Jane Schoenbrun’s follow-up to their acclaimed 2024 effort I Saw the TV Glow. Serving as the premiere feature for the Un Certain Regard section at the Cannes Film Festival, the satirical sendup of 80s slashers is shaping up to be another critical darling. Hannah Einbinder (of Hacks fame) and Gillian Anderson star with a supporting cast including Amanda Fix, Sarah Sherman, Patrick Fischler, Dylan Baker, Jasmin Savoy Brown, Eva Victor, and Jack Haven.

Reviews are strong with 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and perhaps an even more notable 91 Metacritic. The mainstream appeal for Miasma could be limited, but distributor Mubi has shown their campaigning prowess previously through The Substance. Under a best case scenario, the Academy could notice Anderson’s lauded supporting work and/or the original screenplay. I think this is more likely to resonate with the Gotham Awards or Indie Spirits where Glow shined two years back. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Is God Is

Adapting her own critically heralded play, Aleshea Harris’s cinematic directorial debut Is God Is arrives in multiplexes this weekend. The grindhouse tale stars Kara Young and Mallori Johnson as sisters seeking revenge stemming from a family tragedy. The supporting cast includes Sterling K. Brown, Vivica A. Fox, Janelle Monáe, Erika Alexander, Mykelti Williamson, and Josiah Cross.

The Orion release is generating some of the best reviews of 2026 with 97% on Rotten Tomatoes and an 88 Metacritic. That said, Academy love could be hard to come by given the genre. Adapted Screenplay is worth mentioning and Makeup and Hairstyling is an even better possibility.

Where Is God Is could really shine is at the Indie Spirit Awards, especially for Harris with Best First Feature. I could also see it doing well at the Gothams. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: I Love Boosters

It might be Oscar weekend, but it’s also time for South by Southwest which is premiering numerous movies and TV shows. The Austin fest isn’t really a breeding ground for eventual Academy fare though 2022’s BP winner Everything Everywhere All at Once did kick off there.

SXSW is known more for showcasing odder and independent spirited movies. The Oscar bait usually saves itself for Venice, Telluride, and Toronto. Nevertheless Boots Riley’s I Love Boosters is an eagerly awaited title that served as opening selection.

This is the rapper and political activist turned filmmaker’s sophomore feature after his acclaimed 2018 debut Sorry to Bother You. The satire centers on a group of shoplifters boasts an eclectic cast including Keke Palmer, Naomi Ackie, Taylour Paige, Poppy Liu, Eiza González, LaKeith Stanfield, Will Poulter, Don Cheadle, and Demi Moore.

Early buzz indicates Riley has another critical hit with 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 75 Metacritic. Reviews also infer that it’s far out there similar to Bother. Perhaps Original Screenplay could be in play at the Oscars, but this might be more tailored to the Independent Spirit Awards or the Gothams (two ceremonies where Riley’s inaugural effort showed up). My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: A Little Prayer

Writer/director Angus MacLachlan’s family drama A Little Prayer premiered over two and a half years ago at the 2023 Sundance Film Festival to critical appreciation. Sony picked up distribution rights, but the deal fell through and the indie pic is finally being released in limited fashion today after Music Box acquired it.

So while Venice and Telluride debut plenty of high-profile potential titles for the 98th Academy Awards over the weekend, this one is opening quietly. David Strathairn, Jane Levy, Celia Watson, Will Pullen, Anna Camp, and Dascha Polanco make up the ensemble. Nominated for Best Actor 20 years for George Clooney’s Good Night, and Good Luck, Strathairn is drawing kudos for his work as is Levy.

Simply put, I just think Prayer won’t get the push it needs for consideration from the Academy. Perhaps some Indie Spirit love will come its way. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Oh, Hi!

Theaters are greeting Oh, Hi! in limited fashion this weekend after its premiere at Sundance in January. The dark rom com is directed by Sophie Brooks who also co-scripts with lead Molly Gordon. The supporting cast includes Logan Lerman, Geraldine Viswanathan, John Reynolds, David Cross, and Polly Draper.

Park City reaction was mixed and that has carried over to the general critical mass. Rotten Tomatoes is at 63% with Metacritic at 62. Two years ago, Gordon’s co-direction and cowriting of Theater Camp received better notices and nabbed some Independent Spirit Award noms. Don’t expect the same for this from any awards show. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Bob Trevino Likes It

Dramedy Bob Trevino Likes It won the Audience Award at last year’s South by Southwest and is now in limited release after taking crowdpleaser prizes at other festivals including San Diego. Tracie Laymon directs and writes the indie (with distribution from Roadside Attractions) starring Barbie Ferreira, John Leguizamo, French Stewart, and Rachel Bay Jones.

Critics are saying it hits the emotional mark with 97% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 76 Metacritic. As for Cinemascore, it stands at a rare A+. The familial tale might be too small for the Academy to take notice. However, the picture and the cast and particularly the autobiographical screenplay could get some attention from the Gotham Awards or the Indie Spirits. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: My Dead Friend Zoe

My Dead Friend Zoe marks the feature-length directorial debut of Kyle Hausmann-Stokes. The dramedy is out in limited fashion this weekend. It premiered nearly a year ago at South by Southwest and stars Sonequa Martin-Green and Natalie Morales with support from Gloria Reuben, Utkarsh Ambudkar, Morgan Freeman, and Ed Harris.

Reviews are mostly impressive with 95% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 78 on Metacritic. The indie flick might be too small (and too early in the release calendar) to resonate with the Academy for next year’s ceremony. A stronger possibility could be the Independent Spirit Awards taking notice, particularly in Best First Feature for Hausmann-Stokes and maybe Lead Performance for Martin-Green. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor is making her feature film directorial, screenwriting, and starring debut in Sorry, Baby. The drama centered around trauma costars Naomi Ackie, Lucas Hedges, John Carroll Lynch, Louis Cancelmi, and Kelly McCormack. It is one of the buzziest titles that premiered at Sundance.

With a Rotten Tomatoes score of 97% and an 88 Metacritic, A24 outbid competitors for distribution rights. Victor is being hailed as a welcome new voice to the silver screen. Her original screenplay could draw attention from the Academy. I would especially look for the Indie Spirit Awards to take notice of it and that could apply to multiple categories. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Peter Hujar’s Day

Critics are liking the hang for Peter Hujar’s Day out of Sundance, the latest feature from indie auteur Ira Sachs. The two-hander casts Ben Whishaw in the title role of the real-life photographer known for his work in the 1970s and 80s. Rebecca Hall is his writer friend.

Originally meant to be a short film, it still is definitionally at a brisk 76 minutes. This is Sachs’s follow-up to his acclaimed 2023 Passages, which collected four Independent Spirit Awards including Best Film and Mr. Whishaw in Supporting Actor.

Known to many moviegoers as Q from Daniel Craig’s 007 run (or the voice of Paddington), Whishaw is getting lots of Park City praise for his lead role. The pic itself stands at 93% on Rotten Tomatoes and 85 on Metacritic. Like Passages, I’d say this is more Indie Spirit friendly than Oscar. The eventual distributor might be wise to campaign in that space. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Omaha

Omaha is not centered around the play calls of legendary quarterback Peyton Manning. Instead this Sundance premiere is a road trip drama anchored by John Magaro’s performance. He plays a father taking his kids (Molly Belle Wright and Wyatt Solis) cross country in a directorial debut from Cole Webley.

Reviews are complimentary thus far with particular attention paid to Magaro. Despite receiving acclaim in pics like First Cow, Past Lives, and September 5, he’s yet to have his Oscar bait role. A distributor would really need to work some magic for Omaha to be that project. Maybe some Indie Spirit attention is likelier. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…