Oscar Predictions: Borderlands

Before you laugh at me for putting “Oscar Predictions” in front of Borderlands (out tomorrow), the sci-fi action spectacle based on a popular video game series has plenty of special effects. Therefore Eli Roth’s rendering of the source material could theoretically play in Visual Effects.

It won’t. The cast includes two-time Academy Award recipient Cate Blanchett, Kevin Hart, Jack Black, Édgar Ramirez, Ariana Greenblatt, Florian Munteanu, and recent Supporting Actress winner Jamie Lee Curtis. However, this is shaping up to be one of the biggest box office bombs of 2024. With a budget reportedly in the $120 million vicinity, I don’t even have it reaching $10 million during opening weekend.

Then there’s the reviews. Oof. The embargo was lifted hours before its release and now we know why. The Rotten Tomatoes score is 3% with a grand total of one positive(ish) write-up (here’s looking at you Grace Randolph)!

You can safely assume Borderlands won’t resonate with the Academy’s voters. On the other hand, it is the likely frontrunner for the Razzie Awards early next year. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Borderlands Box Office Prediction

Blogger’s Update (08/08): On the eve of its premiere, I’m downsizing my estimate from $11.3 million to $8.1 million

For quite some, “based on a video game” was a kiss of death for cinematic adaptations. Some of the massive failures include 1993’s live-action Super Mario Bros., Double Dragon, Wing Commander, and Max Payne. That trend has reversed in recent years with hits like Uncharted, last year’s animated The Super Mario Bros. Movie, and Five Nights at Freddy’s. So where Eli Roth’s Borderlands land? I suspect it might fail to break out.

The sci-fi action comedy is spawned from one of the most successful game franchises that began 15 years ago. An impressive cast includes Cate Blanchett, Kevin Hart, Jack Black (doing voiceover work), Edgar Ramirez, Ariana Greenblatt, Florian Munteanu, Gina Gershon, Haley Bennett, Bobby Lee, and Jamie Lee Curtis.

Some die-hard aficionados of the role-playing first-person shooter series will obviously turn up. Crossover appeal, despite the recognizable cast, could be a tall order. A debut of over $20 million should be considered a win, but I think it might stall out in the low double digits.

Borderlands opening weekend prediction: $8.1 million

For my It Ends with Us prediction, click here:

Thanksgiving Box Office Prediction

Sony is hoping there is leftover goodwill from a mock trailer 16 years ago when Thanksgiving arrives in theaters November 17th. The slasher film is from Eli Roth and back in 2007, he helmed a fake ad for Thanksgiving at the beginning of Grindhouse. As you’ll recall, Roth shot half of that movie via Planet Terror while Quentin Tarantino was responsible for Death Proof.

The feature length scare fest stars Patrick Dempsey, Addison Rae, Milo Manheim, Jalen Thomas Brooks, Rick Hoffman, and Gina Gershon. The Black Friday set tale is out a week before the holiday. It could be a stretch that mass audiences will want gore with their turkey. Another demerit could be the fact that Grindhouse simply isn’t very well-known (it didn’t reach near the box office levels of Tarantino’s normal offerings).

Thanksgiving might be fortunate to serve up double digits and I’ll project it falls just over that mark.

Thanksgiving opening weekend prediction: $11.4 million

For my The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes prediction, click here:

For my Trolls Band Together prediction, click here:

For my Next Goal Wins prediction, click here:

Emily the Criminal Review

The message in Emily the Criminal seems to be that a felony cannot be overcome no matter the well-intentioned convictions of the felon. In John Patton Ford’s directorial debut, the odds against the title character are as stacked as the giant aluminum food trays she hauls to corporate luncheons in her dreary day and sometimes night job. Another career opportunity starts out as fast money and remains so but becomes increasingly less easy. An alternative path to legitimacy is frustratingly and convincingly shown as more challenging.

Emily (Aubrey Plaza), an L.A. resident by way of New Jersey, is knee deep in student loan debt as she scrapes by in the meal delivery industry. Her options are limited due to an assault charge. Her friend Liz (Megalyn Echikunwoke) tries to get her in on the ground floor at an ad agency though the timing never seems right.

A coworker hips Emily to the “dummy shopping” game where she purchases pricey items with fake credit cards. With the promise of making $200 for a hour’s worth of work buying a flatscreen TV, the initial gambit pays off flawlessly. She’s introduced to one of the ringleaders Youcef (Theo Rossi) and her second assignment hints at the risks lying ahead. However, there is no amount of bulk sandwich spreads that can compete with the bread earned. Soon a romance develops between Emily and Youcef while the latter’s up in the chain brother (Jonathan Avigdori) doesn’t welcome her presence.

Known more for her sardonic sense of humor, Plaza once again shows she has dramatic chops (we witnessed it in Black Bear too). Emily’s circumstances naturally make her a sympathetic figure yet the star and writer/director Ford develop a multidimensional figure. This warts and all approach elevates the narrative. She’s neither a hero or a villain and it appears a share of her problems are self-inflicted. A job interview as she’s screened by Liz’s boss (Gina Gershon) arguably displays this. Her main character trait is she’s a survivor. Plaza excels at exhibiting the determination.

Ford is a filmmaker to watch. He employs a gritty 80s thriller vibe in this saga of perilously living and hopefully not dying in Los Angeles. Crime might just pay in Emily the Criminal and I felt rewarded as we see if this leads to her decline.

***1/2 (out of four)

Oscar Predictions: Emily the Criminal

Emily the Criminal played Sundance back in January and it’s out in limited fashion on August 12th. The directorial debut of John Patton Ford, the crime drama seems to be a showcase for Aubrey Plaza’s title character. Critics have taken notice in their praise of her work. The film itself stands at 93% on Rotten Tomatoes. Costars include Theo Rossi, Megalyn Echikunwoke, and Gina Gershon.

Joining a list that includes Ingrid Goes West, The Little Hours, and Black Bear, none of Plaza’s acclaimed indies have managed to seriously break her into the awards conversation. It’s highly doubtful this one does the trick either, but one suspects a high profile role will come along soon that might do so. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Blockers Movie Review

Perhaps Emoji decoding will be a term that is looked upon as a dated reference years from now when one views Blockers with fresh eyes. However, it’s one that’s used to humorous effect in 2018 in a comedy that lands more comedic punches than it misses. This is a raunchy confection laced with an often surprising amount of sweetness. Director Kay Cannon, making her directorial debut after writing the Pitch Perfect franchise, is careful to mix them well and she’s got a game cast along the way.

The plot is straightforward: three high school seniors make a pact to lose their virginity on prom night. In the 1980s when these types of flicks were more prevalent, it would usually be just the boys plotting these actions. In Blockers, it’s the girls. Julie (Kathryn Newton) is ready to do the deed with her beau and she’s got ultra clingy single mom Lisa (Leslie Mann) constantly breathing down her neck. Kayla (Geraldine Viswanathan) has overprotective pops Mitchell (John Cena) and a date who amusingly uses his culinary skills for mind expanding purposes. Sam (Gideon Adlon) has a strained relationship with her party boy dad Hunter (Ike Barinholtz) and a fedora clad prom partner that doesn’t match her personal preferences.

When the trio of parents discover their daughters plans, they set out to disrupt the deflowering scheme and go to humiliating lengths to do just that. At one point, that means butt chugging at an after party for a certain wrestler turned thespian. Not exactly high brow stuff, but a funny sight gag nonetheless.

At other junctures, Blockers deftly portrays its teens as both naive due to their age and occasionally more intelligent than their over reactive folks. They’re not bad kids solely focused on sex, even though their elders focus is centered on stopping that for varying reasons. The whole coddling storyline with Mann and Cena’s characters is a well-worn one. However, both performers shine in their sometimes familiar scenarios. Barinholtz’s arch with his daughter is little more unique and a bit fresher – and he winningly avoids making his character one-dimensional. Of the three young women, Viswanathan is an actress to keep an eye on in the future.

There’s sex, drugs, and Hailee Steinfeld songs in Blockers, where sin and sentiment manage to coincide well most of the time. The thumbs up emoji applies.

*** (out of four)