Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Box Office Prediction

This Friday brings us Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, the eighth picture in a franchise over 45 years old and the direct sequel to 2011’s Rise of the Planet of the Apes. There have been a number of changes in the past three years with Clovefield director Matt Reeves behind the camera in place of Rise‘s Rupert Wyatt. We also have a new cast of human actors that includes Gary Oldman, Jason Clarke, and Keri Russell. Andy Serkis does return with his acclaimed motion capture performance of ape leader Caesar.

Three  summers back, Rise was a pleasant surprise to both critics and audiences. It got off to a strong $54 million opening weekend in August 2011 on its way to a $176 million domestic take. This time around, expectations are even higher. And it also seems that critics are even more enthusiastic about Dawn. It currently holds a terrific 94% on Rotten Tomatoes. Nearly all tent pole summer 2014 entries from The Amazing Spider-Man 2 to Godzilla to X-Men: Days of Future Past to How to Train Your Dragon 2 to Transformers: Age of Extinction have either just met expectations or grossed under them. Dawn is in a unique position of following a well-received original franchise entry and having critics gushing about it. This could mean big things for it and I believe it has a fair chance of possibly becoming the season’s largest hit, which I wrote about last week here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/06/29/will-the-apes-rule-summer-2014/

As for its opening weekend gross, it should have no problem whatsoever surpassing the $54 million that its predecessor grossed out of the gate. While I don’t see it earning a low to mid 90s haul like Spider-Man 2, Godzilla, Captain America: The Winter Soldier, or X-Men did, it’s within the realm of possibility. I think a better bet is that it grosses in the mid to high 70s and may develop strong legs in subsequent weekends.

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes opening weekend prediction: $77.2 million

Robocop Box Office Prediction

It’s been over 20 years since the character has appeared on screen, but that will change Wednesday when the Robocop reboot hits theaters. A remake of the 1987 action hit, director Jose Padilha takes over the franchise with relative unknown Joel Kinnaman taking on the title role that Peter Weller made famous over a quarter century ago.

While Kinnaman isn’t well-known, there are plenty of familiar faces in supporting roles including Samuel L. Jackson, Gary Oldman, Michael Keaton, Abbie Cornish, and Jackie Earle Haley. MGM and Columbia are clearly hoping they have a worldwide hit on their hands with the pic’s large $130 million budget. Reviews have been mixed so far with a current rating of 48% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Robocop launches on Wednesday so my prediction will reflect my feeling for both its Friday to Monday gross over the President’s Day weekend and its total six day haul. On this same weekend last year, A Good Day to Die Hard took in nearly $29 million over the four day with almost $37 million when you factor in its Thursday debut. Robocop has an extra day to bring in the money, but I feel this may open with slightly smaller results. It doesn’t have the star power of Bruce Willis in his most famous role, but there certainly is a highly familiarity of many moviegoers with the source material.

Robocop opening weekend prediction: $24.9 million (Friday to Monday), $34.7 million (Wednesday to Monday)

For my prediction on About Last Night, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/about-last-night-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Winter’s Tale, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/winters-tale-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Endless Love, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/endless-love-box-office-prediction/