Tag: Every Day

Box Office Predictions: March 2-4

Marvel’s Black Panther should continue its momentous run atop the box office as two newbies compete for action fan attention. They are Red Sparrow with Jennifer Lawrence and Death Wish starring Bruce Willis. You can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each of them here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2018/02/21/red-sparrow-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.com/2018/02/21/death-wish-box-office-prediction/

Not long ago, I might have estimated Red Sparrow would easily top Death Wish in their head to head. However, I’m beginning to believe it might be a fairly close race for the runner-up spot to Panther. That said, I’m still giving Katniss the edge over John McClane… or Joy over Hudson Hawk if you want to go less obvious.

Holdovers Game Night and Peter Rabbit should round out the top five.

And with that, my top 5 predictions for the weekend:

1. Black Panther

Predicted Gross: $65.4 million

2. Red Sparrow

Predicted Gross: $17.5 million

3. Death Wish

Predicted Gross: $16.6 million

4. Game Night

Predicted Gross: $9.8 million

5. Peter Rabbit

Predicted Gross: $8.7 million

Box Office Results (February 23-25)

Black Panther continued to confound prognosticators with its amazing run. In its sophomore frame, the Marvel phenomenon grossed $111.6 million, surging past my $101.8 million forecast. Incredibly, that gives it the #2 largest second weekend of all time behind only Star Wars: The Force Awakens. 

Game Night debuted in second with a solid $17 million, capitalizing on positive reviews and a dearth of comedies to choose from. It opened in line with my $16.3 million estimate.

Peter Rabbit was third with $12.7 million in weekend #3 (I said $11.6 million) for $71 million overall.

Annihilation with Natalie Portman, despite glowing critical reception, struggled in fourth with $11 million – just edging my $10.4 million projection. While critics are digging it, audiences only gave it a C Cinemascore grade. Look for it to fade quickly.

Fifty Shades Freed rounded out the top five with $7.1 million (I said $6.9 million) to bring its tally to $89 million.

Finally, the YA romantic drama Every Day opened meekly in ninth with $3 million, right in line with my $2.9 million estimate.

And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…

Box Office Predictions: February 23-25

The domination of Black Panther should continue at the box office in full force this weekend, but we do have some new titles debuting. The Jason Bateman/Rachel McAdams comedy Game Night and Natalie Portman led sci-fi thriller Annihilation hit screens and you can peruse my detailed prediction posts on each of them here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2018/02/14/game-night-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.com/2018/02/14/annihilation-box-office-prediction/

There’s also Every Day, a romantic drama based on a YA novel that’s rolling out on roughly 1650 screens. It seems to be flying pretty far under the radar and I didn’t do an individual post on it. I’ll estimate it only generates $2.9 million in sales.

As for the more high-profile newbies, Game Night appears poised for a second place showing. Annihilation is more of a question mark in my mind. Depending on the drop that Peter Rabbit experiences in its third weekend, it could be third or fourth with Fifty Shades Freed rounding out the top five.

Black Panther will easily rule the charts after its historic and record breaking premiere (more on that below). The Marvel phenomenon could top $100 million in its sophomore frame and that would put it fourth all time as far as #2 weekends go. That said, it pretty much blew away all expectations over the long weekend so maybe it gets to over $100 million.

And with that, my top 5 predictions for the weekend:

1. Black Panther

Predicted Gross: $101.8 million

2. Game Night

Predicted Gross: $16.3 million

3. Peter Rabbit

Predicted Gross: $11.6 million

4. Annihilation

Predicted Gross: $10.4 million

5. Fifty Shades Freed

Predicted Gross: $6.9 million

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PUuOJ4Lq64

Box Office Results (February 16-19) 

It was an absolutely incredible debut for Black Panther as the critically acclaimed comic book adaptation smashed the February record and then some. Panther took in $242.1 million over the President’s Day frame, blasting past my $193.8 million estimate. Deadpool was the previous February high at $152 million. Its Friday to Sunday haul of $202 million gave it the fifth largest domestic opening of all time – right behind MCU counterpart The Avengers. Its Monday gross of $40.1 million stands as the highest Monday gross of all time – just edging out Star Wars: The Force Awakens by a few thousand bucks. With an A+ Cinemascore grade, look for Panther to continue its run for the ages into the next several weekends.

Peter Rabbit stayed put in the runner-up position with $23.3 million, hopping a touch over my $20.9 million prediction for a two-week tally of $54 million.

Fifty Shades Freed dropped to third with $19.4 million, a bit ahead of my $17 million estimate. In its two weeks of release, the threequel has taken in $78 million.

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle took the four spot with $10 million, right in line with my $9.6 million projection for $379 million overall.

The 15:17 to Paris rounded out the top five with $8.9 million (I said $7.9 million) for $26 million thus far.

Stop-motion animated feature Early Man, despite mostly solid reviews, didn’t connect with family audiences. The pic opened in seventh with only $4.2 million compared to my prediction of $5.7 million.

Lastly, the Biblical drama Samson made no impact with moviegoers with just $2.2 million, not even matching my $3.1 million forecast.

And that does it for now, folks! Until next time…