Oscar Predictions: Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant

Lionel Richie has received three Oscar nominations for his ditties. The filmography of Guy Ritchie has yielded one less as 2009’s Sherlock Holmes was mentioned for Art Direction and Original Score.

Guy could tie Lionel since The Covenant, his Afghanistan war drama, hits theaters this weekend. Jake Gyllenhaal headlines the director’s 14th feature which is generating mostly appreciative reviews and being commended for the restraint shown by the often flashy filmmaker. It sits at 81% on Rotten Tomatoes.

However, the spring release date for the MGM effort indicates this isn’t seen as an awards play. If you’re waiting for this to pop up in mentions during the Academy ceremony next year, you’ll probably be waiting all night long. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant Box Office Prediction

Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant finds Jake Gyllenhaal back in Jarhead territory in this war thriller. It marks Ritchie’s second release of 2023 after Operation Fortune: Ruse de Guerre flopped last month. Formerly titled The Interpreter, costars include Dar Salim, Alexander Ludwig, Antony Starr, Emily Beecham, and Jonny Lee Miller.

Gyllenhaal’s previous action flick was a year ago with Ambulance. It performed below expectations with an $8.6 million start. Ritchie’s aforementioned Guerre managed only $3 million in its unfortunate opening.

The Covenant doesn’t seem to be generating much buzz. I think it’ll have a higher premiere than the director’s last effort, but lower than its lead’s predecessor.

Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant opening weekend prediction: $5.6 million

For my Evil Dead Rise prediction, click here:

For my Beau Is Afraid prediction, click here: