Oscar Predictions: The Bikeriders

Just as some potential awards heavy hitters are screening at the Venice Film Festival, the same holds true for Telluride over this Labor Day weekend. That includes The Bikeriders from Jeff Nichols (out December 1). Based on the 1968 book by Danny Lyon, the impressive cast includes Austin Butler (fresh off his Elvis nod), Jodie Comer, Tom Hardy, Michael Shannon, Mike Faist, Boyd Holbrook, and Norman Reedus.

The 60s and 70s set tale of a gang of outcasts marks the latest from critical favorite Nichols. Despite acclaim for Take Shelter, Mud, and Midnight Special, his only Oscar mention came with Ruth Negga’s Best Actress nod for 2016’s Loving. That category might be the only hope for The Bikeriders.

Some reviews are solid, but I don’t envision this as a player in Best Picture, Director, or Adapted Screenplay. Jodie Comer is getting the bulk of attention. She likely came close to an Actress slot for 2021’s The Last Duel. This could be a chance for the Academy to give her a first nomination. 20th Century Studios faces a decision whether to campaign for her in lead or supporting. No matter which race they choose, Comer’s inclusion may ride on whether voters are even thinking of The Bikeriders a few months down the road. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…