The Chosen: Last Supper – Part 1 Box Office Prediction

The Chosen: Last Supper – Part 1 brings the first two episodes of the faith-based TV show to the big screen with Dallas Jenkins directing. The cast includes Jonathan Roumie as Jesus and Elizabeth Tabish as Mary Magdalene with Shahar Isaac, Paras Patel, and Noah James in support.

Back in November of 2022, the starting shows for season 3 took in an unexpectedly robust $8.7 million at multiplexes in its first weekend. For season 4 in February of 2024, the debut two installments brought in $7.3 million. I would estimate that returns for season 5 will slightly diminish in the mid single digits.

The Chosen: Last Supper – Part 1 opening weekend prediction: $6.4 million

For my A Working Man prediction, click here:

For my Death of a Unicorn prediction, click here:

For my The Woman in the Yard prediction, click here:

The Best Christmas Pageant Ever Box Office Prediction

Lionsgate hopes to reverse a recent trend of box office lumps of coal when The Best Christmas Pageant Ever opens November 8th. Dallas Jenkins, creator of popular faith-based The Chosen series, directs with Judy Greer, Pete Holmes, and Lauren Graham in the cast.

The holiday themed dramedy based on the 1972 Barbara Robinson book is wishing for family audiences to turn out. That might not happen at all or at least right away. As mentioned, its distributor is in a significant slump. If moviegoers like what they see, perhaps it will experience meager declines as Thanksgiving approaches.

I’m projecting it won’t reach $10 million for starters.

The Best Christmas Pageant Ever opening weekend prediction: $8 million

For my Heretic prediction, click here: