Tag: Catalina Sandino Moreno

Oscar Predictions: Ballerina

Ana de Armas headlines the John Wick franchise spinoff Ballerina this weekend with Keanu Reeves appearing in the action thriller from director Len Wiseman. Other costars include Gabriel Byrne, Catalinia Sandino Moreno, Norman Reedus, and Wick fixtures Anjelica Huston, Ian McShane, and the late Lance Reddick.

The Academy recently announced a new Achievement in Stunt Design category. However, it won’t begin until the 100th ceremony in 2028. That’s bad news for Ballerina and Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning in 2025. Both the Wick and Impossible series likely would’ve racked up multiple noms had that race existed over the past decade plus.

Four previous Wick pics couldn’t get into categories like Sound or Visual Effects and I doubt Ballerina will. My Oscar Predictions posts will continue…

Ballerina Box Office Prediction

Ballerina looks to spin box office gold for Lionsgate when it debuts on June 6th. A spinoff of the John Wick franchise, Ana de Armas joins the world of assassins in this cinematic universe with Len Wiseman directing. Gabriel Byrne, Catalina Sandino Moreno, and Norman Reedus provide support. Lucky for the studio’s marketing department, so do several cast members of Wick installments including Anjelica Huston, Ian McShane, Lance Reddick (in his final feature role), and Mr. Wick himself Keanu Reeves.

Originally slated for last summer, the project was pushed back a full year. It takes place between the events of John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum and John Wick: Chapter 4. Recent TV ads have highlighted Keanu’s involvement with the title styled as From the World of John Wick: Ballerina.

Parabellum debuted to $56 million in 2019 while 2023’s fourth installment kicked off with $73 million, Ballerina is not expected to reach those heights and its start should be more in line with John Wick: Chapter Two‘s $30 million premiere in 2017. $40 million is possible, but I’ll say mid 30s.

Ballerina opening weekend prediction: $36.8 million

For my The Phoenician Scheme prediction, click here:

The Phoenician Scheme Box Office Prediction

Silent Night Box Office Prediction

John Woo’s Silent Night hopes to make a little noise for Lionsgate when it opens December 1st. It marks the filmmaker’s first American feature in 20 years (since the 2003 Ben Affleck flop Paycheck). Joel Kinnaman, Scott Mescudi, Harold Torres, and Catalina Sandino Moreno star in the dialogue free action thriller.

We are a quarter century past when Woo was a blockbuster making commodity, including hits like Face/Off and Mission: Impossible 2. With a lack of star power, Silent may play to sparse venues.

I have a tough time envisioning this getting to $10 million and it faces direct competition from Godzilla Minus One. Mid single digits seems likely for a calm and quiet debut.

Silent Night opening weekend prediction: $5.1 million

For my Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé prediction, click here:

Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé Box Office Prediction

For my Godzilla Minus One prediction, click here:

Godzilla Minus One Box Office Prediction

For my The Shift prediction, click here:

The Shift Box Office Prediction

For my Animal prediction, click here:

Animal Box Office Prediction

Incarnate Box Office Prediction

The first weekend of December is typically a very light frame for new product and 2016 is no different as horror flick Incarnate is the only new offering. From Blumhouse Tilt (a studio that makes their pics cheap and fast), the exorcism tale stars Aaron Eckhart. It’s been a busy year for the lead actor, as he’s already appeared in supporting roles this fall with hit Sully and flop Bleed for This. Brad Peyton (who made last summer’s San Andreas) is behind the camera and costars include Carice van Houtem and Catalina Sandino Moreno.

Despite a release in European territories last summer, Incarnate has sat on the shelf waiting for U.S. distribution. That’s usually not a sign of confidence from the studio and neither is its dumping ground release date. This should follow the pattern of many other first weekend of December premieres and post extremely low numbers.

Incarnate opening weekend prediction: $1.7 million