Tag: Brent McCorkle

I Can Only Imagine 2 Box Office Prediction

The faith-based sequel I Can Only Imagine 2 arrives in multiplexes February 20th with Andrew Erwin returning to direct alongside Brent McCorkle. The Lionsgate production is the follow-up to 2018’s original which massively exceeded box office projections. John Michael Finley, Trace Adkins, and Dennis Quaid reprise their roles from 8 years back. Other cast members include Milo Ventimiglia, Sophie Skelton, Arielle Kebbel, and Sammy Dell.

In March of 2018, the first Imagine (centered on the band MercyMe) was forecasted for an opening weekend in the low to mid single digits. Yet it struck a chord with Christian filmgoers to the tune of a $17 million premiere. With a rare A+ Cinemascore grade, the overall domestic haul ballooned to $86 million.

Figuring out how the follow-up will do is tricky. A best case scenario could be another significant overperformance in the mid 20s or so. There’s also the distinct possibility that the OG Imagine caught lightning in a bottle and plenty of fans may not be clamoring for part 2. Under that scenario, the floor could $10 million.

My hunch is high teens though it probably won’t leg out as impressively as its predecessor.

I Can Only Imagine 2 opening weekend prediction: $17.8 million

Jesus Revolution Box Office Prediction

Lionsgate is hoping the Jesus Revolution picks up plenty of followers when it debuts February 24th. The faith based drama set in the 1970s is directed by Jon Erwin and Brent McCorkle. Erwin, along with his brother Andrew, are responsible for making such genre successes as Woodlawn, I Can Only Imagine, and American Underdog. The cast includes Joel Courtney, Anna Grace Barlow, Jonathan Roumie, Kimberly Williams-Paisley, and Kelsey Grammer.

Christian themed pics are tricky to predict. They can often exceed expectations, but there’s a few that don’t match forecasts. The track history of the Erwins is more with the former. A gross exceeding $10 million is certainly doable. Underdog, focused on the rise of quarterback Kurt Warner, made $5.9 million in its premiere. However, it opened during Christmas weekend of 2021 when competition was fierce. I’ll say Revolution tops that figure while not hitting double digits.

Jesus Revolution opening weekend prediction: $8.7 million

For my Cocaine Bear prediction, click here:

Cocaine Bear Box Office Prediction