Bob Marley: One Love Box Office Prediction

Paramount hopes fans of the title character turn out for Bob Marley: One Love when it debuts on February 14th. Kingsley Ben-Adir is the legendary reggae singer with Lashana Lynch as wife Rita. Reinaldo Marcus Green, who last directed King Richard, is behind the camera. James Norton, Tosin Cole, and Anthony Welsh are among the supporting players.

Originally slated for January, the studio opted to push it back to the long holiday weekend encompassing Valentine’s and President’s Day. Reviews are mixed to negative with an RT score of 36% thus far.

Despite the critical reaction, Marley has a devoted fanbase and competition is light save for Madame Web. I believe a four-day take in the high teens to low 20s is doable with high 20s for the six-day tally.

Bob Marley: One Love opening weekend prediction: $19.2 million (Friday to Monday); $28.9 million (Wednesday to Monday)

For my Madame Web prediction, click here:

Oscar Watch: Whitney

There’s been some high-profile documentaries as of late focused on high-profile people. This Friday, that trend continues with the release of Whitney. It covers the life of the late Whitney Houston and is directed by Kevin Macdonald. He’s known for making fictional efforts such as The Last King of Scotland and State of Play, as well as critically heralded docs Touching the Void and Marley (which covered another legendary musician).

Whitney screened in May at the Cannes Film Festival to positive notices (the Rotten Tomatoes score is at 90% right now). In order for it to be noticed by Oscar voters, it would need to get on equal footing with other recent acclaimed docs like RBG and Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

This could be a challenge. My feeling is that Whitney may have trouble making the short list come nomination time as voters may save their love for other entries.

My Oscar Watch posts will continue…