Tag: Andrea Martin

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 Box Office Prediction

Way back in 2002, My Big Fat Greek Wedding became the sleeper hit of the year with a $241 million gross vs. its teeny $5 million budget. In 2016, a long gestating sequel emerged to a nearly $18 million opening weekend. Yet it faded quickly with a $59 million overall take.

The third edition of the rom com franchise is out September 8th. Nia Vardolos not only returns in the starring role, but she handles directorial duties. The ensemble cast includes John Corbett, Louis Mandylor, Elena Kampouris, Gia Carides, Joey Fatone, Lainie Kazan, and Andrea Martin.

I would anticipate this series will continue to see diminishing returns. Frankly, the performance of part 2 made it a surprise that Focus Features RSVP’d for a follow-up. This could struggle to make $10 million. I’ll put it just over that.

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 opening weekend prediction: $10.3 million

For my The Nun II prediction, click here:

The Nun II Box Office Prediction

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Box Office Prediction

Next weekend, My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will deal with something its predecessor never had to: expectations. The 2002 original (with a puny $5 million budget) came out of nowhere to become the highest grossing romantic comedy of all time, grossing $241 million domestically and earning an Oscar nomination for Best Original Screenplay.

Original stars Nia Vardalos and John Corbett are back, along with returnees Lainie Kazan, Michael Constantine, Andrea Martin, and Joey Fatone and newbies John Stamos and Rita Wilson (who co-produces like last time alongside her hubby Tom Hanks).

While the first Wedding was a rousing success story that defied any prognostications, it doesn’t help that it occurred fourteen years ago. That’s a long time between sequels and it hinders the possibility of younger audiences turning out that might not even be aware of the original’s existence. This is obviously aiming for female counter programming against Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, which should draw a huge male audience.

Comedy sequels (especially long gestating ones) are a risky proposition, as Ben Stiller just learned with Zoolander No. 2. If this manages to reach $20 million or beyond in its opening weekend, that should be considered a win. Obviously, this stands zero shot at even reaching a third of its sleeper hit predecessor. I’m actually skeptical this reaches $15M and I’ll predict it won’t.

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 opening weekend prediction: $13.1 million

For my Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice prediction, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2016/03/16/batman-v-superman-dawn-of-justice-box-office-prediction/