Christy Box Office Prediction

It’s been a 2025 of unimpressive box office numbers for Sydney Sweeney features including Eden and Americana. That may end in December with The Housemaid, but I look for it to continue in November with Christy. The true life sports biopic casts Sweeney as boxer Christy Martin with David Michôd directing. The supporting cast includes Ben Foster, Merritt Wever, Katy O’Brian, and Ethan Embry.

Christy premiered in early September at the Toronto Film Festival hoping to kick off an Oscar campaign for its star. While her performance is being appreciated, reviews themselves were so-so with 69% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 56 Metacritic. That word-of-mouth hasn’t completely KO’ed Sweeney’s awards chances, but did significantly hamper it.

I doubt audiences turn up though it should top the $1 million and $500,000 that Eden and Americana respectively made in their first weekends of semi-wide release.

Christy opening weekend prediction: $2.2 million

For my Predator: Badlands prediction, click here:

Oscar Predictions: Christy

Most recently in headlines for an American Eagle jeans ad controversy, the narrative should be shifting for Sydney Sweeney after Christy‘s premiere at the Toronto Film Festival. The true life boxing biopic casts the 27-year-old as ring champion Christy Martin. Animal Kingdom maker David Michôd directs with a supporting cast including Ben Foster, Merritt Wever, Katy O’Brian, and Ethan Embry.

Ahead of its planned November 7th theatrical release, early reviews are certainly mixed with 65 on Metacritic and 68% on Rotten Tomatoes. However, praise for Sweeney is high. In a year where she’s appeared in a string of underwhelming features (Echo Valley, Americana, Eden), critics are lauding her work and the makeup artists who render her appearance far different than those denim advertisements. She is now in the mix for Best Actress as is the Makeup and Hairstyling department. It should be noted, however, that Actress appears to be stocked with contenders in films with better critical reaction. Playing her trainer turned abusive husband, ink for Foster is impressive. A Supporting Actor bid could materialize though the attention could be trained on the lead. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…

Oscar Predictions: Americana

Writer/director Tony Tost’s Americana first screened way back in 2023 at the South by Southwest festival. Its lead actress Sydney Sweeney has become considerably more famous since then and the crime thriller is finally out this weekend. Paul Walter Hauser, Halsey, Eric Dane, Zach McClarnon, and Simon Rex are among the supporting players.

Initial reviews were stronger coming out of Austin, but have come down to Earth upon wider viewings. The Rotten Tomatoes score is 68% with Metacritic at 61. Sweeney, who’s been in the news due to commercials more than movies recently, might have a shot at awards chatter with sports drama Christy later this year. It won’t come via Americana. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…