31st Critics’ Choice Awards Nomination Predictions

Nominations for the 31st Critics’ Choice Awards will be unveiled tomorrow morning before its telecast on January 4th. With Chelsea Handler returning to host, it is one of the higher profile Oscar precursors. This awards branch is traditionally hesitant to honor international titles though titles No Other Choice and The Secret Agent popped up on their shortlists for consideration and recent pics like Roma, Parasite, and RRR made the cut. Speaking of, this is the first year where CCA unveiled shortlists for a number of below the line races.

Like the Oscars, there are 10 nominees for Best Picture. Last year, 9 out of 10 CCA nominees got a BP nod from the Academy. It was 8 the previous two years so this is a decent barometer for what’s to come. Unlike the Oscars, there were 8 nominated Directors (at least there was last year), but apparently only six this time around and 6 hopefuls in other categories.

Here are my predictions with an alternate for each competition:

Best Picture

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Jay Kelly

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Train Dreams

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Bugonia

Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

Ryan Coogler, Sinners

Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein

Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident

Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme

Chloé Zhao, Hamnet

Alternate – Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value

Best Actress

Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good

Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another

Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value

Emma Stone, Bugonia

Alternate – Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee

Best Actor

Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme

Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another

Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams

Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon

Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

Alternate – George Clooney, Jay Kelly

Best Supporting Actress

Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value

Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleass, Sentimental Value

Amy Madigan, Weapons

Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners

Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another

Alternate – Regina Hall, One Battle After Another

Best Supporting Actor

Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another

Delroy Lindo, Sinners

Paul Mescal, Hamnet

Sean Penn, One Battle After Another

Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly

Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value

Alternate – Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein

Best Original Screenplay

It Was Just an Accident

Jay Kelly

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Weapons

Alternate – The Secret Agent

Best Adapted Screenplay

Bugonia

Frankenstein

Hamnet

No Other Choice

One Battle After Another

Train Dreams

Alternate – Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Best Comedy

Bugonia

Jay Kelly

Marty Supreme

The Phoenician Scheme

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Alternate – The Naked Gun

Best Ensemble

Hamnet

Jay Kelly

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – A House of Dynamite

Best Foreign Language Film

It Was Just an Accident

No Other Choice

The Secret Agent

Sentimental Value

Sirât

The Voice of Hind Rajab

Alternate – Left-Handed Girl

Best Animated Film

Arco

KPop Demon Hunters

Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

Ne Zha 2

Scarlet

Zootopia 2

Alternate – Elio

Best Cinematography

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Train Dreams

Alternate – Jay Kelly

Best Costume Design

Frankenstein

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Hamnet

Best Editing

A House of Dynamite

F1

Marty Supreme

No Other Choice

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Alternate – Hamnet

Best Hair and Makeup

28 Years Later

Frankenstein

Sinners

The Smashing Machine

Weapons

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Kiss of the Spider Woman

Best Production Design

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Hedda

Best Original Score

A House of Dynamite

Bugonia

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Alternate – Frankenstein

Best Original Song

“Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless

“The Girl in the Bubble” from Wicked: For Good

“Golden” from KPop Demon Hunters

“Highest 2 Lowest” from Highest 2 Lowest

“I Lied to You” from Sinners

“Train Dreams” from Train Dreams

Alternate – “Last Time (I Seen the Sun)” from Sinners

Best Sound

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

Frankenstein

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Warfare

Best Stunt Ensemble

Ballerina

F1

Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Superman

Best Visual Effects

Avatar: Fire and Ash

The Fantastic Four: First Steps

F1

Frankenstein

Superman

Wicked: For Good

Alternate – Mickey 17

Best Young Actor/Actress

Everett Blunck, The Plague

Miles Caton, Sinners

Cary Christopher, Weapons

Aidan Delbis, Bugonia

Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another

Jacobi Jupe, Hamnet

Alternate – Alfie Williams, 28 Years Later

That means I am predicting the following number of nominations for these films:

17 Nominations

Sinners

16 Nominations

One Battle After Another

11 Nominations

Marty Supreme, Wicked: For Good

10 Nominations

Hamnet

9 Nominations

Frankenstein

8 Nominations

Sentimental Value

5 Nominations

Bugonia, Jay Kelly, Train Dreams

4 Nominations

Avatar: Fire and Ash, F1, Weapons

3 Nominations

It Was Just an Accident, No Other Choice

2 Nominations

A House of Dynamite, KPop Demon Hunters, The Secret Agent

1 Nomination

28 Years Later, Arco, Ballerina, Blue Moon, Diane Warren: Relentless, The Fantastic Four: First Steps, Highest 2 Lowest, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You, Kiss of the Spider Woman, Little Amélie or the Character of Rain, Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning, Ne Zha 2, The Phoenician Scheme, The Plague, Scarlet, Sirât, The Smashing Machine, Superman, The Voice of Hind Rajab, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery, Zootopia 2

Oscar Predictions: 28 Years Later

28 Days Later from Danny Boyle reinvigorated its genre 22 years ago with 2007 sequel 28 Weeks Later also generating solid reviews. Now Boyle is back in the director’s seat this Friday with 28 Years Later and word-of-mouth is encouraging once again. It’s not often you see soulful and rich used to describe this type of feature and that’s the case here. The post-apocalyptic threequel stars Jodie Comer, Aaron-Taylor Johnson, Jack O’Connell, Alfie Williams, and Ralph Fiennes.

Some critics are praising this as a zombie flick classic with 95% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 78 Metacritic. That is currently the best RT score of the trilogy. Boyle, an Oscar winner for 2008’s Slumdog Millionaire, reunites with screenwriter Alex Garland (now a successful filmmaker who penned Academy nominated Ex Machina).

Since both gentlemen have been in the awards mix since their 28 Days collaboration over two decades ago, could Academy voters take a look at this? I doubt they will for Best Picture or other top of the line races. It’s not an impossibility, but one hindrance could be Ryan Coogler’s vampiric Sinners from earlier this year. That horror title seems destined for BP and directorial nods.

I do wonder if 28 Years could make a play in Makeup & Hairstyling. That might be its best shot for the franchise entering the Academy’s consciousness. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…