Category: Oscar: Case Of

Oscar movies

Oscars: The Case of Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin

As the sympathetic Dominic in The Banshees of Inisherin, Barry Keoghan is the next Case Of entry for the Supporting Actor contenders.

The Case for Barry Keoghan:

Following acclaimed performances including Dunkirk and The Killing of a Sacred Deer, Keoghan get his first major awards exposure along with his three Banshees cast mates. Critics Choice, SAG, and Golden Globe nods followed with a surprising win at BAFTA. His lovestruck monologue to Kerry Condon is a ready made for your consideration Oscar clip.

The Case Against Barry Keoghan:

Ke Huy Quan from Everything Everywhere All at Once has a dandy clip or two himself and he won Critics Choice, SAG, and the Globe. Academy members may assume Keoghan has plenty more bites at the apple and he could split votes with costar Brendan Gleeson.

Previous Nominations:

None

The Verdict:

Despite the unexpected recognition from friends across the pond, Quan remains the heavy favorite for Supporting Actor.

My Case Of posts will continue with Steven Spielberg’s direction of The Fabelmans!

Write-ups for the other hopefuls in the race can be found here:

Oscars: The Case of Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway
Oscars: The Case of Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans
Oscars: The Case of Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Oscars: The Case of Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once

As the no-nonsense IRS inspector with hot dog hands in an alternate universe, Jamie Lee Curtis’s in Everything Everywhere All at Once is next up for my Supporting Actress Case Of posts.

The Case for Jamie Lee Curtis:

For four and a half decades, Curtis has been a mainstay on the silver screen across all genres from Halloween to Trading Places to A Fish Called Wanda and True Lies to Freaky Friday and Knives Out. Despite that impressive and varied filmography, Everything marks her first nom from the Academy. A victory could double as a career achievement award. That could help explain her surprise win last night at SAG. She also made the cut at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and BAFTAs.

The Case Against Jamie Lee Curtis:

The same career achievement narrative can be applied to Angela Bassett for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and she won the Globe and Critics Choice. Kerry Condon from The Banshees of Inisherin took the BAFTA. Curtis could also split votes with her costar Stephanie Hsu.

Previous Nominations:

None

The Verdict:

If I had written this post on Saturday, I wouldn’t have given Curtis much of a chance. The SAG recognition puts her in a three-way race with Bassett and Condon.

My Case of Posts will continue with Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin!

Write-ups for Curtis’s competition can be accessed here:

Oscars: The Case of Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Oscars: The Case of Hong Chau in The Whale
Oscars: The Case of Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Oscars: The Case of Paul Mescal in Aftersun

Paul Mescal’s big screen breakout work in the coming-of-age drama Aftersun is the next Case Of post for the Best Actor contenders.

The Case for Paul Mescal:

At age 27, voters took notice of the Irish thespian with nominations at BAFTA and Critics Choice. Expect to see a lot of Mescal in the coming years with potential awards hopefuls from Richard Linklater, Garth Davis, and a Gladiator sequel.

The Case Against Paul Mescal:

Another young performer – Austin Butler as Elvis – is picking up the bulk of precursor victories. Mescal didn’t make the cut at the Golden Globes or SAG. His placement for Aftersun marks the picture’s sole Academy nom. That’s typically not a recipe for an Actor victory.

Previous Nominations:

None

The Verdict:

Mescal should have more opportunities in the future. At the 95th Academy Awards, he’s probably fifth in the running for the aspiring quintet.

My Case Of posts will continue with Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once!

If you missed my other write-ups on the Actors, click here:

Oscars: The Case of Austin Butler in Elvis
Oscars: The Case of Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Brendan Fraser in The Whale
Oscars: The Case of Bill Nighy in Living

Oscars: The Case of Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans

Playing a version of Steven Spielberg’s real mother, Michelle Williams is nominated for her fifth Oscar in The Fabelmans.

The Case for Michelle Williams:

From the moment this personal project of Spielberg’s was announced, Williams was correctly assumed to have an awards bait role. Precursor noms have materialized at Critics Choice and the Golden Globes. There could also be a feeling that she is overdue given that her track record is 0 for 4 on previous mentions.

The Case Against Michelle Williams:

Universal Pictures surprised everyone when they announced they were campaigning Williams in lead instead of supporting. I maintain that she would stand a considerably better shot at winning in the latter. Some wondered if the Academy might choose to put her up in supporting anyway. SAG and BAFTA left her off their ballots and there’s no significant victories to speak of. The general consensus and one I agree with is this is a two-person race between Cate Blanchett (Tár) and Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once).

Previous Nominations:

Brokeback Mountain (Supporting Actress, 2005); Blue Valentine (Actress, 2010); My Week with Marilyn (Actress; 2011); Manchester by the Sea (Supporting Actress; 2016)

The Verdict:

I believe the choice to slot Williams will universally be regarded as an unforced error. She seemed headed for 0 for 5.

My Case Of posts will continue with Paul Mescal in Aftersun!

If you didn’t catch my other write-ups on the contending Actresses, click here:

Oscars: The Case of Cate Blanchett in Tár
Oscars: The Case of Ana de Armas in Blonde
Oscars: The Case of Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie
Oscars: The Case of Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Oscars: The Case of Ruben Östlund for Triangle of Sadness

Swedish satirist Ruben Östlund’s direction of Triangle of Sadness is next up in my Case Of posts for the directors vying for the Oscar.

The Case for Ruben Östlund:

After garnering acclaim for Force Majeure (2014) and 2017’s The Square (which nabbed a foreign language feature nod), his English-language debut cornered three noms in Picture, Director, and Original Screenplay. It generated buzz early when it took the Palme d’or at Cannes. The admiration for the film led to his surprise inclusion in the filmmaking quintet.

The Case Against Ruben Östlund:

In Best Director, there is usually a surprise nominee. That’s Östlund this time. The downside is that the surprise nominee doesn’t win. He wasn’t up in any of the key precursors like DGA, Golden Globes, or Critics Choice Awards.

Other Nominations:

None for direction

Foreign Language Film (The Square; 2017); Original Screenplay (Triangle of Sadness; 2022)

The Verdict:

Of the five hopefuls in the race, Östlund stands the fifth best (so… worst) chance at nabbing the statue.

My Case Of posts will continue with Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans!

The other entries for the Best Director contenders can be accessed here:

Oscars: The Case of the Daniels for Everything Everywhere All at Once
Oscars: The Case of Todd Field for Tár
Oscars: The Case of Martin McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans

Oscars: The Case of Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans

For his brief but memorable appearance as an eccentric granduncle in Steven Spielberg’s The Fabelmans, Judd Hirsch is next up in my Case Of posts for the Supporting Actor nominees.

The Case for Judd Hirsch:

From TV shows Taxi and Dear John to movies including Ordinary People and Independence Day, Hirsch has been a fixture on screens small and large for decades. His inclusion here comes 42 years after a nod in the same category for Ordinary People and that stands as the longest gap between recognitions in Oscar history. Besides that cool storyline, he scored a Critics Choice mention and managed to get in over his more favored costar Paul Dano.

The Case Against Judd Hirsch:

Hirsch was omitted at the Golden Globes, SAG, and BAFTA for individual honors. He’s only in the film for about 10 minutes and that’s brought some gripes about whether he should be in the quintet at all. Most importantly, Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) is probably the sturdiest frontrunner in any of the acting competitions.

Previous Nominations:

Supporting Actor (Ordinary People; 1980)

The Verdict:

Hirsch was a real question mark to make the cut. There’s not much mystery about his chances to win as they’re basically non-existent.

My Case Of posts will continue with Ruben Östlund’s direction for Triangle of Sadness!

For my other posts covering the Supporting Actor contenders, click here:

Oscars: The Case of Brendan Gleeson in The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway
Oscars: The Case of Barry Keoghan in The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Oscars: The Case of Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin

As Colin Farrell’s kindly sibling in Martin McDonagh’s The Banshees of Inisherin, Kerry Condon is the next Supporting Actress hopeful for consideration in my Case Of posts.

The Case for Kerry Condon:

The stage and screen thespian stole some scenes in the main quartet of Banshees performers who were all nominated. Condon has landed precursor nods in all major ceremonies and picked up a few critics groups prizes.

The Case Against Kerry Condon:

Due to Angela Bassett’s performance in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Condon was not victorious at the Golden Globes or Critics Choice Awards. That leaves her, at best, in runner-up status.

Previous Nominations:

None

The Verdict:

I do believe Condon is second at the moment and she could manage to upset frontrunner Bassett. A BAFTA win tomorrow or SAG next weekend could make her more viable. If Bassett continues to run the table, the gold might be out of reach.

My Case Of posts will continue with Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans!

Write-ups for the other Supporting Actress contenders can be accessed here:

Oscars: The Case of Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Oscars: The Case of Hong Chau in The Whale
Oscars: The Case of Jamie Lee Curtis in Everything Everywhere All at Once
Oscars: The Case of Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Oscars: The Case of Brendan Fraser in The Whale

As a morbidly obese English teacher attempting to reconnect with his daughter, Brendan Fraser’s performance in The Whale is next up in my Case Of posts.

The Case for Brendan Fraser:

After a three decade career with films as varied as Encino Man, George of the Jungle, Gods and Monsters, The Mummy, and Crash, Darren Aronofsky’s latest gave Fraser an acclaimed comeback narrative. Since the premiere in Venice, he’s been at the forefront of Best Actor chatter. This resulted in pending noms at SAG and BAFTA and a victory at the Critics Choice Awards.

The Case Against Brendan Fraser:

Reaction to the film itself has been as varied as the lead’s filmography. It missed a Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay nomination. The last Best Actor winner whose movie missed the BP cut is Jeff Bridges from Crazy Heart in 2009. Austin Butler (Elvis) and Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), who each took the respective lead Actor competitions at the Golden Globes, don’t have that problem.

Previous Nominations:

None

The Verdict:

The narrative of a Fraser podium trip might be too enticing for voters to pass up. However, The Whale‘s divisive reaction throws real doubt as to whether he goes all the way.

My Case Of posts will continue with Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin!

If you missed the previous posts for the Actor hopefuls, you can peruse them here:

Oscars: The Case of Austin Butler in Elvis
Oscars: The Case of Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin
Oscars: The Case of Paul Mescal in Aftersun
Oscars: The Case of Bill Nighy in Living

Oscars: The Case of Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie

As a down on her luck lottery winner who blew through the cash, Andrea Riseborough’s much discussed Best Actress nomination for To Leslie is next up in my Case Of posts.

The Case for Andrea Riseborough:

Even a week before Oscar nods came out, Riseborough (known for roles in mainstream and indie fare including Oblivion, Battle of the Sexes, and Mandy) was on no one’s radar screen for this small budget drama. Then a grassroots campaign emerged with shout-outs from fellow competitor Cate Blanchett and others. Most didn’t think she’d manage to get in, but lo and behold it happened. So it that can happen… why not a victory?

The Case Against Andrea Riseborough:

Well, there’s plenty of reasons why there probably won’t be a win. She was mentioned in zero precursors. The unconventional campaign for her to make the quintet – fairly or unfairly – has been criticized. And Blanchett (Tár) and Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) appear to be in a two-person race for the gold.

Previous Nominations:

None

The Verdict:

The biggest surprise of the 20 contestants in the four acting derbies, Riseborough’s inclusion could lead to changes in the Academy’s campaign rules or could revolutionize how small distributors mount their campaigns. It’s doubtful the end result of the nomination itself is a win.

My Case Of posts will continue with Brendan Fraser in The Whale!

For my write-ups on Riseborough’s fellow nominees, click here:

Oscars: The Case of Cate Blanchett in Tár
Oscars: The Case of Ana de Armas in Blonde
Oscars: The Case of Michelle Williams in The Fabelmans
Oscars: The Case of Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Oscars: The Case of Martin McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin

Martin McDonagh’s direction of The Banshees of Inisherin is next up for the quintet in that category in my Case Of posts.

The Case for Martin McDonagh:

When a movie has a legit shot at winning Best Picture and the filmmaker is nominated, he’s got a chance. That’s the case here. For the tragicomedy, the acclaimed director/playwright has been nominated in the key precursors DGA, Golden Globes, BAFTA, and Critics Choice.

The Case Against Martin McDonagh:

At Critics Choice, the Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once) won. At the Globes, it was Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans). McDonagh’s victory at the Globes came in screenplay and that could occur with the Academy (where he’s been nominated twice before for written works In Bruges and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri).

Previous Nominations:

None for direction

Six other nominations for Live-Action Short Film (Six Shooter, 2005, WON); Original Screenplay (In Bruges, 2008); Picture and Original Screenplay (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri), Picture and Original Screenplay (The Banshees of Inisherin)

The Verdict:

A sweeping Banshees night still could leave McDonagh out in director in favor of the Daniels or Spielberg. He could take screenplay instead under that scenario.

My Case Of posts will continue with Andrea Riseborough in To Leslie!

If you missed my other Director write-ups, they can accessed here:

Oscars: The Case of the Daniels for Everything Everywhere All at Once
Oscars: The Case of Todd Field for Tár
Oscars: The Case of Ruben Östlund for Triangle of Sadness
Oscars: The Case of Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans