Oscars: The Case of Jacques Audiard for Emilia Pérez

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our next entry in Best Director and that’s Jacques Audiard for Emilia Pérez. If you missed my posts covering Sean Baker from Anora and Brady Corbet for The Brutalist, they’re linked at the bottom.

Previous Directing Oscar Nominations:

None

The Case for Jacques Audiard:

While his 2009 drama A Prophet was up for International Feature Film a decade and a half ago, his behind the camera work for Pérez marks his first BP nominee and inaugural directing nod. The Jury prize winner from Cannes has yielded him directorial mentions at DGA, the Golden Globes, BAFTA, and Critics Choice.

The Case Against Jacques Audiard:

DGA went to Sean Baker for Anora while the Globe and BAFTA was bestowed to The Brutalist‘s Brady Corbet. For Critics Choice, it was Jon M. Chu in Wicked (he didn’t make the Academy’s quintet). The controversy swirling around lead actress Karla Sofia Gascón’s past social media posts likely hurt the film in any race that’s not Supporting Actress where Zoe Saldaña is still favored.

The Verdict:

Audiard was somewhat of a long shot before the bad press. He’s more so now.

My Case Of posts will continue with the fourth hopeful in Best Actress and that’s Demi Moore in The Substance…

Oscars: The Case of Edward Norton in A Complete Unknown

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our third entry in Best Supporting Actor and that’s Edward Norton in James Mangold’s A Complete Unknown. If you missed my posts covering Yura Borisov (Anora) and Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain), they’re linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

Best Supporting Actor (1996, Primal Fear) – lost to Cuba Gooding Jr. (Jerry Maguire)

Best Actor (1998, American History X) – lost to Roberto Benigni (Life is Beautiful)

Best Supporting Actor (2014, Birdman) – lost to J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)

The Case for Edward Norton:

As folk singer Pete Seeger, Norton returns to the Oscar lineup a decade after his third nomination. For his fourth try, he achieved a quartet of noms in key precursors the Golden Globes, SAG, Critics Choice, and BAFTA. He’s 0 for 3 thus far and Academy voters might feel he’s overdue for the statue.

The Cast Against Edward Norton:

Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) has swept so far with only SAG left. Timothée Chalamet might have a better shot if Unknown manages an acting victory.

The Verdict:

Unless he is a surprise SAG victor this Sunday, Supporting Actor seems to be going Culkin’s way. After March 2nd, the Norton count should be 0 for 4.

My Case Of posts will continue our next hopeful in Director and that’s Jacques Audiard for Emilia Pérez…

Oscars: The Case of Felicity Jones in The Brutalist

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our third entry in Best Supporting Actress and that’s Felicity Jones in Brady Corbet’s The Brutalist. If you missed my posts covering Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown) and Ariana Grande from Wicked, they’re linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

Best Actress (2014, The Theory of Everything) – lost to Julianne Moore (Still Alice)

The Case for Felicity Jones:

A decade after contending in lead actress for The Theory of Everything, Jones gets her second Academy try in the picture tied for the second most nominations. She also received mentions at BAFTA and the Golden Globes.

The Case Against Felicity Jones:

Jones was not nominated at Critics Choice or SAG and nearly all chatter of an actor winning for The Brutalist has focused on Adrien Brody in Best Actor. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) has swept the season so far and with SAG the only precursor left, Jones has no chance of picking up any hardware before the big show.

The Verdict:

It was a question mark as to whether Jones would make the final five. It’s an honor to be nominated.

My Case Of posts will continue with the third hopeful in Supporting Actor and that’s Edward Norton in A Complete Unknown…

Oscars: The Case of Colman Domingo in Sing Sing

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our third entry in Best Actor and that’s Colman Domingo in Greg Kwedar’s Sing Sing. If you missed my posts covering Adrien Brody and Timothée Chalamet, they’re linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

Best Actor (2023, Rustin) – lost to Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

The Case for Colman Domingo:

Just one year after being in contention for Rustin, Domingo makes a quick return engagement to the Oscar dance as Divine G in the acclaimed prison drama. For his work, he was nominated for the Golden Globe, SAG, BAFTA, and Critics Choice.

The Case Against Colman Domingo:

Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) collected the Globe, BAFTA, and Critics Choice with Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) considered second in line. Sing Sing missed the BP cut as did costar Clarence Maclin in Supporting Actor.

The Verdict:

The second time will not be the charm for Domingo as Sing Sing underperformed with the Academy.

My Case Of posts will continue with our third hopeful in Supporting Actress and that’s Felicity Jones in The Brutalist

Oscars: The Case of Mikey Madison in Anora

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our third entry in Best Actress and that’s Mikey Madison in Sean Baker’s Anora. If you missed my posts covering Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) and Karla Sofia Gascón (Emilia Pérez), they’re linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

None

The Case for Mikey Madison:

She’s the titular character in arguably the Best Picture frontrunner. and Cannes Palme d’Or recipient. The 25-year-old has been nominated at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice, SAG, and BAFTA. Just yesterday, she won the BAFTA in an unexpected development over the favored Demi Moore (The Substance).

The Case Against Mikey Madison:

Her BAFTA trophy was a bit of a surprise because Moore was victorious over her at the Globes and Critics Choice. Moore’s narrative might be too enticing for Academy voters to ignore and they might figure Madison has plenty of time for a return engagement.

The Verdict:

This race definitely seems headed for a showdown between Madison and Moore. All eyes are on SAG this weekend to determine who might have the slight edge.

My Case Of posts will continue with the third hopeful in Best Actor and that’s Colman Domingo in Sing Sing…

Oscars: The Case of Brady Corbet for The Brutalist

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our second entry in Best Director and that’s Brady Corbet for The Brutalist. If you missed my post covering Sean Baker from Anora, it’s linked at the bottom.

Previous Directing Oscar Nominations:

None

The Case for Brady Corbet:

Mr. Corbet is going the Ron Howard route as a child actor turned acclaimed filmmaker and he’s already got hardware to show for it. Yesterday he took home the BAFTA for his direction to go with his Golden Globe from a few weeks back. While Picture and Director often match, it seems his behind the camera achievement for The Brutalist could win him the latter even if the film doesn’t take the top prize.

The Case Against Brady Corbet:

7 out of the last 10 Golden Globe directing winners won the Oscar. It’s also a 70% ratio over the past decade for BAFTA. For DGA, it is 9 out of the last 10 and Corbet didn’t win that one. Instead it was Sean Baker for Anora. He also came up short at Critics Choice where Jon M. Chu (Wicked) was the unexpected victor.

The Verdict:

Corbet seemed like a relatively safe bet before DGA. Now it feels like a coin flip between Baker and him.

My Case Of posts will continue the third hopeful in Best Actress and that’s Mikey Madison in Anora…

Oscars: The Case of Kieran Culkin in A Real Pain

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our second entry in Best Supporting Actor and that’s Kieran Culkin in Jesse Eisenberg’s A Real Pain. If you missed my post covering Yura Borisov in Anora, it’s linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

None

The Case for Kieran Culkin:

Ever since A Real Pain premiered at Sundance over a year ago, Culkin has been considered a strong possibility for awards play. That narrative has carried over and intensified as the Succession Emmy winner has already picked up the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Award. He’s also vying for BAFTA and SAG.

The Case Against Kieran Culkin:

The fact that A Real Pain didn’t nab a BP nod from the Academy is a tad concerning. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) is the last Supporting Actor recipient whose film wasn’t up in the big race and that was 13 years ago.

The Verdict:

Culkin is unquestionably the favorite. If someone else snags BAFTA or SAG (say Edward Norton for A Complete Unknown or Guy Pearce in The Brutalist), it could get more interesting.

My Case Of posts will continue with the second hopeful in Best Director and that’s Brady Corbet for The Brutalist

Oscars: The Case of Ariana Grande in Wicked

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our second entry in Best Supporting Actress and that’s Ariana Grande in Jon M. Chu’s Wicked. If you missed my post on Monica Barbaro in A Complete Unknown, it’s linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

None

The Case for Ariana Grande:

As Glinda the Good in the hugely popular adaptation of the stage play, Grande scored big love from audiences and critics. It resulted in nominations at the Globes, SAG, Critics Choice, and BAFTA. This is an opportunity for the Academy to recognize one of the most widely seen performances of the evening.

The Case Against Ariana Grande:

At the Globes and Critics Choice, she’s fallen short to another musical performance in Zoe Saldaña from Emilia Pérez.

The Verdict:

Grande is in the same boat as my previous post with Timothée Chalamet in A Complete Unknown. Both are considered the runner-ups because they’ve yet to win a significant precursor. Like Chalamet, I think Grande needs to take SAG in order to have any real shot of taking gold over Saldaña. She could score a mild upset if the recent Pérez controversy extends beyond Karla Sofia Gascón.

My Case Of posts will continue with the next contender in Supporting Actor and that’s Kieran Culkin in A Real Pain…

Oscars: The Case of Timothée Chalamet in A Complete Unknown

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our second entry in Best Actor and that’s Timothée Chalamet in James Mangold’s A Complete Unknown. If you missed my post on Adrien Brody (The Brutalist), it’s linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

Best Actor (2017, Call Me by Your Name) – lost to Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)

The Case for Timothée Chalamet:

He’s essentially Hollywood’s IT leading man of the moment coming off Wonka, Dune: Part Two, and this biopic where he embodies Bob Dylan. Plenty of critics have hailed it as career best work and he’s landed precursor nods everywhere that matter (Golden Globes, BAFTA, Critics Choice, SAG). Chalamet would make Oscar history as the youngest victor in this competition.

The Case Against Timothée Chalamet:

Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) has already taken the Globe and Critics Choice as he seeks his second gold statue. Side note – he’s the current record holder for youngest Best Actor recipient for The Pianist (2002). Voters might figure Chalamet will have other opportunities as his career progresses.

The Verdict:

Chalamet is rightly seen as the runner-up. If he can snag SAG next weekend, this becomes a race. If it goes to Brody, the sweep is likely on.

My Case Of posts will continue with our next Supporting Actress contender and that’s Ariana Grande in Wicked

Oscars: The Case of Karla Sofia Gascón in Emilia Pérez

As we do every year on this here blog, Oscar nominations lead to my Case Of series. What are they? Glad you asked. These are 35 posts covering the nominees for Picture, Director, and the four acting contests. For each one, I give you the case for the movie/director/actor winning and the case against it with a verdict tidying it up. It’s like a trial, but no one goes to prison.

It began with the ten Best Picture contenders and now alternates alphabetically between the hopefuls in the other five races. The BP nominee posts are up and they’re readily available for your perusing pleasure. Today is our second entry in Best Actress and that’s Karla Sofia Gascón for Jacques Audiard’s Emilia Pérez. If you missed my post on Cynthia Erivo (Wicked), it’s linked at the bottom.

Previous Acting Oscar Nominations:

None

The Case for Karla Sofia Gascón:

The Spanish actress has been nominated in the key quartet of precursors with the Golden Globes, SAG, Critics Choice, and BAFTA. Playing the title character in the most nominated picture, a Gascón victory would be history making as she’s the first transgender performer nominated in the category.

The Case Against Karla Sofia Gascón:

Well… it’s voluminous but let’s start with the non-obvious. There’s been no precursor wins of note and she lost to Demi Moore (The Substance) at the Globes and Critics Choice. While she may play the titular role, her costar Zoe Saldaña has been the focus of attention in Supporting Actress. Then there’s the headline making controversy. Last month, a number of Gascón’s social media posts from a few years back resurfaced containing troubling comments. The firestorm was enough for Netflix to essentially drop any campaign for her in Best Actress and refocus all attention on its other nominations.

The Verdict:

Gascón wasn’t a real threat to win before the scandal and is even less so now.

My Case Of posts will continue with the second contender in Best Actor and that’s Timothée Chalamet in A Complete Unknown