Endless Love Box Office Prediction

I’ve already covered two 80s remakes (Robocop and About Last Night) that will be released Valentine’s/President’s Day weekend and now we move to the third – Endless Love. This one updates the 1981 Brooke Shields flick that today is mostly known for its title song sung by Lionel Richie and Diana Ross. In this case, blogging last about this movie may be indeed because it’ll make the least.

Alex Pettyfer from Magic Mike and Gabriella Wilde from The Three Musketeers headline the romantic drama. The fact that it’s being released on Valentine’s Day will only help it grosses, but it’s worth noting that Winter’s Tale and About Last Night are also making a play for the V Day crowd. I expect both of them to outdo Love.

Endless Love should easily get beyond double digits for the four day weekend, but anything over mid teens would be higher than I can envision.

Endless Love opening weekend prediction: $16.1 million

For my prediction on Robocop, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/robocop-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on About Last Night, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/about-last-night-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Winter’s Tale, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/winters-tale-box-office-prediction/

Winter’s Tale Box Office Prediction

This weekend’s romantic drama Winter’s Tale is the sole picture of the quartet coming out over President’s Day that isn’t based on a 1980s flick. It is based on a novel from Mark Helprin that came out in the 80s though. The period piece’s cast includes Colin Farrell, Jennifer Connelly, and Russell Crowe and comes from Akiva Goldsman, making his feature directorial debut. He’s well-known in Hollywood for his screenplays and they include A Time to Kill, A Beautiful Mind, Cinderella Man, and The Da Vinci Code.

Warner Bros. is definitely hoping the pic’s Valentine’s Day release date brings in couples. And I’ll predict that the release date will certainly help. Anything over $20 million would be considered quite a feat and it wouldn’t shock me if it got there (it has a smallish $46M budget). However, with direct competition from both About Last Night and Endless Love, I believe a more likely scenario is a debut in the high teens.

Winter’s Tale opening weekend prediction: $18.4 million (Friday to Monday)

For my prediction on Robocop, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/robocop-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on About Last Night, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/about-last-night-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Endless Love, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/endless-love-box-office-prediction/

About Last Night Box Office Prediction

The President’s Day cavalcade of 80s remakes continues on with About Last Night, which updates the 1986 romance that starred Rob Lowe, Demi Moore, Jim Belushi, and Elizabeth Perkins. Perfectly positioned with a Valentine’s Day release – it will face competition from other romantic themed pictures Winter’s Tale and Endless Love, which I’ll get to later today.

About Last Night, however, has a pretty big ace up its sleeve in the form of Kevin Hart who couldn’t be more popular right now with the massive success of last month’s Ride Along. Costars include Michael Ealy, Regina Hall, and Joy Bryant. The combination of Hart and its well-timed release leads me to believe this could open very big, perhaps even surpassing Robocop – another high-profile 80s reboot. For comparisons sake, it could open similar to what The Best Man Holiday did in November with $30 million.

The four day holiday gross may push About Last Night beyond that number by a bit. This film should especially do well with African-American audiences, who made up 87% of Holiday‘s opening weekend crowd. Bottom line: Kevin Hart’s run of box office fortune in 2014 should continue here.

About Last Night opening weekend prediction: $36.8 million (Friday to Monday gross)

For my prediction on Robocop, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/robocop-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Winter’s Tale, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/winters-tale-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Endless Love, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/endless-love-box-office-prediction/

Robocop Box Office Prediction

It’s been over 20 years since the character has appeared on screen, but that will change Wednesday when the Robocop reboot hits theaters. A remake of the 1987 action hit, director Jose Padilha takes over the franchise with relative unknown Joel Kinnaman taking on the title role that Peter Weller made famous over a quarter century ago.

While Kinnaman isn’t well-known, there are plenty of familiar faces in supporting roles including Samuel L. Jackson, Gary Oldman, Michael Keaton, Abbie Cornish, and Jackie Earle Haley. MGM and Columbia are clearly hoping they have a worldwide hit on their hands with the pic’s large $130 million budget. Reviews have been mixed so far with a current rating of 48% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Robocop launches on Wednesday so my prediction will reflect my feeling for both its Friday to Monday gross over the President’s Day weekend and its total six day haul. On this same weekend last year, A Good Day to Die Hard took in nearly $29 million over the four day with almost $37 million when you factor in its Thursday debut. Robocop has an extra day to bring in the money, but I feel this may open with slightly smaller results. It doesn’t have the star power of Bruce Willis in his most famous role, but there certainly is a highly familiarity of many moviegoers with the source material.

Robocop opening weekend prediction: $24.9 million (Friday to Monday), $34.7 million (Wednesday to Monday)

For my prediction on About Last Night, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/about-last-night-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Winter’s Tale, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/winters-tale-box-office-prediction/

For my prediction on Endless Love, click here:

https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/endless-love-box-office-prediction/

2014 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress Prediction

With the Oscars less than a month away – today I begin my picks on who will win in the six major categories at the ceremony. There will be a final round of predictions for all the races – probably two days prior to the telecast. We begin with Best Supporting Actress. Let’s recap the nominees, shall we?

Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

Julia Roberts, August: Osage County

June Squibb, Nebraska

The precursor awards have been split among Lawrence and Nyong’o. The Golden Globes, New York Film Critics, and National Society of Film Critics went with Lawrence while the SAG Awards and Critics Choice bestowed Nyong’o with the honor.

Simply put, this race appears to be down to those two ladies. A win for Hawkins, Roberts, or Squibb would be a major upset. Last year, Lawrence won Best Actress for Silver Linings Playbook and a victory for her here would pull off the rare feat of an actor winning two years in a row. The last time it occurred was 20 years ago with back-to-back wins for Tom Hanks in Philadelphia and Forrest Gump.

American Hustle received nominations in all four acting categories and Lawrence’s inclusion represents the best shot at a win. That said, I believe the slight momentum is on the side of Nyong’o. Her nomination also represents the greatest chance for 12 Years to get a win in the acting races. From a statistics point of view – I’d put it at about 55% Lupita, 45% J-Law at this juncture and we’ll see if that remains the case in my final picks a few weeks from now.

Predicted Winner for Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

Next up: Best Supporting Actor Prediction

This Day in Movie History: February 8

23 years ago Today in Movie History – February 8 – the domestic violence thriller Sleeping with the Enemy debuted in theaters. Fresh off the massive success of Pretty Woman the year prior, Julia Roberts would catapult the meagerly budgeted $19 million pic to big results at the box office. Enemy would end Home Alone‘s 11 week reign at the top spot with a $13.7M opening on its way to a $101M domestic run. Nowadays the film is best known for its use of Van Morrison’s “Brown Eyed Girl” in a montage sequence.

As for birthdays, today would’ve marked the 89th birthday for Jack Lemmon. He had one of the most impressive filmographies of any performer, winning Oscars for Supporting Actor in Mister Roberts in 1955 and Actor in 1973 for Save the Tiger. He received a total of eight nominations. There’s many other notable projects including his collaborations with Walter Matthau – among them The Fortune Cookie, The Odd Couple, and Grumpy Old Men. There’s also Some Like It Hot, The Apartment, Days of Wine and Roses, Irma la Douce, The Out-of-Towners, The China Syndrome, Missing, and Glengarry Glen Ross. Lemmon passed away in 2001.

Nick Nolte is 73 today. He’s been nominated for three Oscars – twice for Actor in 1991’s The Prince of Tides and 1998’s Affliction and Supporting Actor in 2011 for Warrior. Among his many other notable roles: Who’ll Stop the Rain, North Dallas Forty, 48 Hrs., Under Fire, Down and Out in Beverly Hills, Q&A, Cape Fear, The Thin Red Line, and Tropic Thunder.

As for Six Degrees of Separation between the two gentlemen:

Jack Lemmon was in Missing with Sissy Spacek

Sissy Spacek was in Affliction with Nick Nolte

And that’s today – February 8 – in Movie History!

This Day in Movie History: February 7

11 years ago Today in Movie History – February 7 – Kate Hudson and Matthew McConaughey’s romantic comedy How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days debuted in theaters. The pic earned an impressive $23.7 million opening weekend to top the charts and wound up with $105 million domestically. While Hudson’s career has been a little quiet lately, McConaughey is currently the frontrunner to win Best Actor at the Oscars for Dallas Buyers Club.

As for birthdays, Chris Rock is 49 today. The “SNL” alum and brilliant stand-up comic first got on the radar screens of moviegoers with his dramatic turn as drug-addicted Pookie in 1991’s New Jack City. Later, Rock would parlay his stand-up success to starring in films that include Lethal Weapon 4, Head of State, The Longest Yard, and the two Grown Ups flicks.

Ashton Kutcher is 36 today. His TV work made him a star with “That 70s Show” and later on MTV’s “Punk’d”. His film career would get into gear with surprise hit Dude, Where’s My Car?. Other notables pictures include Just Married, The Butterfly Effect, Guess Who, What Happens in Vegas, No Strings Attached, and last year’s Jobs.

As for Six Degrees of Separation between the two:

Chris Rock was in Head of State with Bernie Mac

Bernie Mac was in Guess Who with Ashton Kutcher

And that’s today – February 7 – in Movie History!

This Day in Movie History: February 6

As the 2014 Winter Olympics gets underway in Sochi – how appropriate that on This Day in Movie History – February 6 – 10 years ago, Miracle opened in theaters. The picture focused on the 1980 U.S. Hockey team’s victory over the heavily favored Soviet team at the Winter Olympics and cast Kurt Russell as head coach Herb Brooks. Miracle was a hit with audiences ($64 million domestic) and critics (80%) on Rotten Tomatoes.

As for birthdays, Rip Torn is 83 today. He made his debut in the 1956 film Baby Doll and would soon have a significant part in Pork Chop Hill with Gregory Peck. He played Judas in 1961’s King of Kings. Over recent history, Torn has been known mostly for comedic roles including as a cast member of HBO’s “The Larry Sanders Show”. More recent appearances include the first two Men in Black flicks and Dodgeball.

Dane Dehaan is 28 today. He first came onto the scene in the lead role in 2012’s unexpected hit Chronicle. He has since appeared in Lincoln, Lawless, and Kill Your Darlings. This summer Dehaan will take over the part of Harry Osborn in The Amazing Spider-Man 2, where he’ll likely morph into the Green Goblin at some juncture.

As for Six Degrees of Separation between Mr. Torn and Mr. Dehaan:

Rip Torn was in Men in Black with Tommy Lee Jones

Tommy Lee Jones was in Lincoln with Dane Dehaan

And that’s today – February 6 – in Movie History!

This Day in Movie History: February 5

15 years ago Today in Movie History – February 5 – the crime thriller Payback starring Mel Gibson opened and topped the box office charts with a solid $21 million gross. It would end up with $81 million domestically. The film was based on the same source material as 1967’s genre classic Point Blank with Lee Marvin. The hard-edged thriller drew a mixed reaction from critics with 54% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Two actresses with extensive and impressive filmographies celebrate birthdays today. Jennifer Jason Leigh is 52. She became known to moviegoers when she barely out of her teens in 1982’s Fast Times at Ridgemont High. She would move onto a mix of indie critical hits and mainstream fare that includes Last Exit to Brooklyn, Miami Blues, Backdraft, Rush, Single White Female, Short Cuts, The Hudsucker Proxy, Dolores Claiborne, Road to Perdition, Greenberg, and The Spectacular Now.

Laura Linney is 50 today. One of her first high-profile roles was in the costly 1995 dud Congo. However, Linney would soon begin juggling the same kinds of independent prestige projects along with bigger pictures. They include Primal Fear, The Truman Show, You Can Count on Me, Mystic River, Kinsey, The Squid and the Whale, The Savages, and Hyde Park on Hudson. Her TV resume includes the Showtime series “The Big C” and as Abigail Adams in HBO’s “John Adams” miniseries.

As for Six Degrees of Separation between the accomplished performers:

Jennifer Jason Leigh was in Fast Times at Ridgemont High with Sean Penn

Sean Penn was in Mystic River with Laura Linney

And that’s today – February 5 – in Movie History!

The NeverEnding Story

I’ve been thinking about Philip Seymour Hoffman a lot over the past couple of days. There’s the obvious reason – the brilliant actor died under sad circumstances over the weekend.

His death led to the thoughts I’ll try to articulate in this post. It’s not about Hoffman’s tragic passing but about his impact on me as a film buff. And all the other actors, directors, and writers that we grow to admire.

Boogie Nights had a profound influence on me when I saw it that almost equaled that of Pulp Fiction. I consider it to be perhaps the second greatest picture after Pulp of the last two decades. There’s another candidate – Almost Famous. What do they have in common? Hoffman. He’s a supporting character in both and both movies give him extremely memorable moments. Same goes for The Big Lebowski. And, of course, his amazing leading man roles in Capote and The Master.

For true blue lovers of the medium, these films and the performers who populate them become part of our makeup. When something like Boogie Nights or Lebowski or Almost Famous is mentioned in this manner – “I haven’t seen it” – it really fills me with a sense of happiness. That’s because (if I know the person I’m talking to loves movies) I know they’ll get to experience it for the first time.

It’s part of what I refer to as the NeverEnding Story of movies. There’s the logical explanation to my term… movies are released every week. There’s always something new to watch and discuss. However, it also refers to the NeverEnding conversations that I’ll have when I meet someone new and discover they loved a movie as much as me. Or if we disagreed – that can require a discussion too.

When I hear a friend is watching the James Bond movies in order for the first time, that sets up a series of 20 plus conversations discussing the merits of the Connery, Lazenby, Moore, Dalton, Brosnan, and Craig eras.

With the people who make movies – it’s another NeverEnding Story that features as many twists and turns as the product themselves. There’s endless examples, but here’s some recent ones. In the mid 2000s, Matthew McConaughey’s career was flaming out with middling fare like Sahara and by-the-numbers romantic comedies. Now he’s giving performances that place him among the greatest actors of his generation.

When Titanic became the highest grossing picture ever, Leonardo DiCaprio could have coasted on his charm in action flicks and romances. He chose a different path and become Martin Scorsese’s new De Niro. He, too, has easily become among the best of his peers.

Robert Downey Jr.’s career was basically over by the mid 90s after a sad series of drug problems. Now he’s Iron Man. And Sherlock Holmes. And maybe the biggest movie star on the planet.

I write a series of posts on this blog called Movie Perfection. This is where I talk about scenes in movies that, in my mind, are flawless. They’ve included the last scenes of Seven, the “Tiny Dancer” sing-along in Almost Famous, the coffee shop encounter in Heat, and Patrick Bateman’s musings on 80s music in American Psycho, among others. I wrote a whole Movie Perfection post on the work of Quentin Tarantino because it’s all been pretty much perfect to this movie lover.

And here’s the thing: somewhere there’s a young kid just discovering how much he or she loves the world of movies. That kid will study Hitchcock and Kubrick and Spielberg and Scorsese and Quentin. They’ll discover the impeccable work of Brando and De Niro and Pacino and Day-Lewis and Streep and Hepburn and Blanchett and Hackman and DiCaprio and on and on.

They’ll discover Philip Seymour Hoffman. They won’t be inundated by the grisly details of his heroin addiction. They’ll marvel at his ability to disappear into the roles he played. That potential actor/writer/director might see something in a Hoffman performance that influences them. And that is what will matter.

That kid might grow up to direct the finest actors of their generation. Or be one of those actors. Or that kid might write another scene that I consider Movie Perfection and I’ll write about it. This isn’t something that will probably happen. It’s going to happen.

That, my friends, is the NeverEnding Story that I love to follow and write about. That’s why there’s a whole lot of movie bloggers out there. At the end of day, we’re all part of talking about the NeverEnding Story of Cinema. Sometimes it involves hundreds or thousands of posts writing about the subject, like I do.

Or sometimes the conversation goes like this:

“So how was it?”

“Pretty good. You should check it out.”

And whether the conversation in this NeverEnding Story involves a million words or that brief exchange above, we’re all a part of it.