Based on an acclaimed novella by Max Porter, The Things with Feathers casts Benedict Cumberbatch as a widower going through a unique grieving process. Dylan Southern directs with a supporting cast including Richard and Henry Boxall as his children, Eric Lampaert and David Thewlis.
Feathers was first screened way back in January at Sundance and also played in Berlin. Slated for a November 28th stateside bow, festival reaction was unimpressive. Despite an awards baity premise and source material, the Rotten Tomatoes rating is 53% with 51 on Metacritic. Those numbers won’t fly as we get deeper into the season. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
Both of Bradley Cooper’s directorial efforts – 2018’s A Star Is Born and 2023’s Maestro – were Best Picture nominees. Can Is This Thing On? make it three for three? The comedic drama focused on a separated couple (Will Arnett and Laura Dern) has closed out the New York Film Festival prior to its slated December 19th debut. Mr. Cooper is in the supporting cast alongside Andra Day, Amy Sedaris, Arnett’s Smartless cohost Sean Hayes, Christine Ebersole and Ciarán Hinds.
The early 92% Rotten Tomatoes score indicates another critically appreciated pic from its maker. Yet some of the reaction calls this a more minor effort from Cooper and company. I anticipate Metacritic’s rating will be noticeably lower. Early word-of-mouth has me suspecting this thing isn’t an Academy player despite comparisons to Marriage Story (which happened to get Dern a Supporting Actress Oscar). If it gets in anywhere, Original Screenplay would be it though competition is considerable.
The Golden Globes are a different story if Fox Searchlight campaigns for it in Musical/Comedy. That would be the smart strategic move and could mean noms in Picture and the lead acting races for Arnett and Dern. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
Based on the 2016 novel by Ruth Ware, thriller The Woman in Cabin 10 is out on Netflix this weekend. Keira Knightley headlines as a journalist who stumbles upon a murder mystery on a luxury cruise ship. Simon Stone, maker of 2021’s The Dig, directs with a supporting cast including Guy Pearce, Art Malik, Gugu Mbatha-Raw, Kaya Scodelario, Daniel Ings and Hannah Waddingham.
Despite compliments about some performances, critics are generally not digging Cabin. The Rotten Tomatoes score is just 25% with 44 on Metacritic. In other words, there’s zero mystery about whether this will be an awards player. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
Good Fortune is hoping for just that when the Lionsgate release opens October 17th. The supernatural comedy marks the directorial debut of Aziz Ansasi. He also wrote the script and costars with Seth Rogen, Keke Palmer, Sandra Oh and Keanu Reeves as a guardian angel.
The film premiered at the Toronto Film Festival to mostly satisfied reviews (83% Rotten Tomatoes, 69 Metacritic). Humorous features have seen decreasing wide theatrical releases in recent years. In August, The Naked Gun managed mid teens out of the gate with name brand recognition.
I doubt Fortune is that fortunate. Low teens could be the ceiling and $10M+ is certainly possible, but I’m going lower as this genre struggles at multiplexes.
Good Fortune opening weekend prediction: $7.3 million
Universal Pictures is banking on horror fans receiving Black Phone 2 with open arms on October 17th. Following up on the surprise 2022 hit based on a novel by Joe Hill (son of Stephen King), Scott Derrickson is back directing. Ethan Hawke reprises his role as serial killer The Grabber alongside Mason Thameas, Madeleine McGraw, Demián Bechir, Miguel Mora, Jeremy Davies and Arianna Rivas.
Scary movies have been hot properties in 2025 and there should be enough goodwill left over from the original for this to solidly perform. Reviews are mostly positive with 81% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 71 Metacritic (pretty much right where part 1 landed).
I wouldn’t be surprised if this premiere plays out similar to Smile 2. That sequel opened on the same weekend last year with $23 million and that just edged the $22.6 million earned by its predecessor. The first Phone dialed up $23.6 million for starters and I’ll gave 2 slightly more.
Black Phone 2 opening weekend prediction: $25.5 million
Out Friday, sci-fi action tale Tron: Ares is the third feature in the Disney franchise that began all the way back in 1982 and continued with a 2010 follow-up. Joachim Rønning handles directorial duties (taking over from Joseph Kosinksi) with Jared Leto headlining and Jeff Bridges reprising his role from the predecessors. The supporting cast includes Greta Lee, Evan Peters, Jodie Turner-Smith, Hasan Minhaj, Arturo Castro and Gillian Anderson.
The so-so reviews that greeted it today are on par with what Legacy received 15 years ago. Ares stands at 55% on Rotten Tomatoes and 50 at Metacritic while Legacy had respective numbers of 51% and 49. Neither the original Tron or the sequel managed to get a Visual Effects nod where a mention for Ares would seem most feasible. The first Tron did get a Sound nom (losing to E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial).
Ares could contend (and only contend) in those two races. However, competition from sequels alone is significant. Avatar: Fire and Ash and Wicked: For Good should play in both of them. The Fantastic Four: First Steps is viable in VE and Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning could factor into each. I wouldn’t write Ares off, but history isn’t on its side. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
Blogger’s Update (10/08): The announced theater count of just 1300 venues has me changing my prediction from $5.2 million to $2.2 million. That puts it outside of the of the top 5.
With Taylor Swift sashaying out of multiplexes after a dominant weekend, Tron: Ares looks to take over the charts. We also have Channing Tatum in the crime dramedy Roofman and Jennifer Lopez headlining Kiss of the Spider Woman. My detailed prediction posts on the trio can be accessed here:
With scant competition, Tron should have no trouble placing first. That said, I have the sci-fi threequel earning less out of the gate than what greeted Tron: Legacy nearly 15 years ago.
I have both Roofman and Spider Woman in the mid single digits and both could fall behind the third frame of One Battle After Another if it dips in the low to mid 40s. **I’ll also note the release of Soul on Fire starring William H. Macy. It could manage to do $3 million or so and sneak into the top 5, but I’m uncertain on the theater count. I may add it into the lineup later this week so keep an eye out.
The Conjuring: Last Rites could hold the five spot since I believe its decline will be far less than The Smashing Machine‘s sophomore outing. The latter bombed over the weekend (more on that below) and its B- Cinemascore doesn’t bode well for the road ahead.
Here’s how I see the top 5 shaking out:
1. Tron: Ares
Predicted Gross: $42.6 million
2. One Battle After Another
Predicted Gross: $6.4 million
3. Roofman
Predicted Gross: $5.8 million
4. The Conjuring: Last Rites
Predicted Gross: $3.1 million
5. The Smashing Machine
Predicted Gross: $2.6 million
Box Office Results (October 3-5)
To coincide with the release of her already record-breaking 12th album, Taylor Swift: The Official Release Party of a Showgirl played for a three-day engagement and was #1 as expected. The $34 million take was in line with many expectations, but I thought Ms. Swift might surpass them with a $48.6 million projection. Any way you cut it, it’s a fine result while not approaching the $93 million that her Eras Tour theatrical experience garnered.
In fact, pretty much everything fell below my forecasts this weekend. One Battle After Another slid to second with a troubling 50% decline to $11 million. I was more generous at $14.5 million as I thought the A Cinemascore would help out more than it did. The two-week take is $42 million.
Dwayne Johnson suffered his weakest ever wide release opening as The Smashing Machine crumbled in third with $6 million. I guesstimated more than twice that number at $13.7 million. A poor start like that should evaporate any awards buzz and look for it to fade quickly.
Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie nosedived 61% in fourth with $5.3 million compared to my glass half full $7.9 million prediction. Its ten-day tally is a meager $21 million.
The Conjuring: Last Rites rounded out the top five with $4.1 million and I incorrectly had it on the outside looking in. The five-week total is $167 million.
Two other new(ish) titles struggled. The re-release of Avatar: The Way of Water was seventh with $3.2 million. I went with $4.4 million. Nevertheless the few extra bucks brought its gross to $687 million as Avatar: Fire and Ash is primed for December.
Canine horror pic Good Boy was ninth with $2.3 million, falling a bit under my $2.8 million projection.
Blogger’s Update (10/08): The announced theater count of just 1300 venues has me changing my prediction from $5.2 million to $2.2 million
Bill Condon (Dreamgirls, Beauty and the Beast) adapts a 1976 stage play where the first cinematic version in 1985 nabbed William Hurt an Oscar in Kiss of the Spider Woman. Out October 10th, the musical drama premiered back at Sundance early this year. Jennifer Lopez, Tonatiuh (in the Hurt role) and Diego Luna headline.
The politically charged tale generated mixed to positive notices in Utah. Rotten Tomatoes is at 82% while the Metacritic score is 60. Awards buzz lies with Lopez and some tech races only. Better word-of-mouth could have equaled stronger grosses.
I suspect this will struggle to find an audience. A theater count might alter my projection, but I’m going mid single digits.
Kiss of the Spider Woman opening weekend prediction: $2.2 million
Already out in France after its debut at Cannes in May, Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk is a feature that could capture the attention of Academy voters. Filmmaker Sepideh Farsi chronicles her correspondence with Palestinian photojournalist Fatima Hassouna before she was killed in an airstrike earlier this year.
The timely documentary received an emotional reception at Cannes and early reviews have resulted in a 94% rating on Rotten Tomatoes. There will be plenty of politically charged efforts for the doc branch to choose from in 2025, but Walk may be tough to ignore. I have it currently ranked fifth on my board of possibilities. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
As they always do, the trilogy of late summer/early fall festivals in Venice, Toronto and Telluride tremendously shaped the Oscar landscape a few weeks ago. The in-progress New York fest has a smaller imprint, but we did see the premiere of Ronan Day-Lewis’s Anemone before its semi-wide release this weekend. Starring his three-time Oscar winning father Daniel, the screenings keep him in the convo for Best Actor while its Picture, Director and Original Screenplay possibilities fell by the wayside. If its lead were to make the cut in the Actor quintet, he could bring costars Sean Bean and Samantha Morton with him in the supporting fields. However, I think that’s a long shot.
New York’s closer is Is This Thing On? from Bradley Cooper. His two other behind the camera works (A StarIs Born, Maestro) were both BP contenders. When I do my next update, we’ll know its viability in all races from BP to the acting contests for Will Arnett, Laura Dern and Cooper himself.
In other news, Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another performed respectably though didn’t surpass expectations in its box office debut. I still believe ranking it 1st in BP, Director and Adapted Screenplay is the right play with its terrific reviews. Benicio del Toro pops up in the top 10 for Supporting Actor though it could be a stretch for both him and Sean Penn to get in. That said, Teyana Taylor and Chase Infiniti are both viable in Supporting Actress. In fact, I’m elevating Infiniti for the first time in that race with Inga Ibsdotter Lilleass (Sentimental Value) now on the outside.
In a best case scenario, Battle could see five of its performers up for gold (with Leonardo DiCaprio in lead Actor). Nine pictures have managed that feat in Oscar history: 1942’s Mrs. Miniver, All About Eve from 1950, 1953’s From Here to Eternity, 1954’s On the Waterfront, 1957’s Peyton Place, 1963’s Tom Jones, 1967’s Bonnie and Clyde, 1974’s The Godfather Part II, and Network from 1976, Worth noting is that it’s been almost half a century since it last happened.
Another newcomer this weekend is Benny Safdie’s The Smashing Machine and it is struggling mightily at the box office. With more reviews out that are far from raves, I’m more skeptical that Dwayne Johnson or Emily Blunt get nominated. The best bet for inclusion is Makeup and Hairstyling and I’m not even convinced it gets in there.
Bugonia has fallen out of my BP top ten with Avatar: Fire and Ash returning to the lineup. This could be temporary, but we’ll see how the reaction to Yorgos Lanthimos’s latest is when it debuts later this month.
There’s a change in Best Actor with George Clooney as Jay Kelly returning to the projected quintet and Jesse Plemons (Bugonia) dropping.
You can read all the movement below!
Best Picture
Predicted Nominees:
1. One Battle After Another (Previous Ranking: 1) (Even)
2. Sinners (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Hamnet (PR: 2) (-1)
4. Sentimental Value (PR: 4) (E)
5. Marty Supreme (PR: 5) (E)
6. Wicked: For Good (PR: 6) (E)
7. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Jay Kelly (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 11) (+2)
10. No Other Choice (PR: 10) (E)
Other Possibilities:
11. Bugonia (PR: 7) (-4)
12. Frankenstein (PR: 12) (E)
13. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 13) (E)
14. A House of Dynamite (PR: 14) (E)
15. Is This Thing On? (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Rental Family
Best Director
Predicted Nominees:
1. Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another (PR: 1) (E)
2. Ryan Coogler, Sinners (PR: 2) (E)
3. Chloé Zhao, Hamnet (PR: 3) (E)
4. Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value (PR: 4) (E)
5. Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Park Chan-wook, No Other Choice (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Yorgos Lanthimos, Bugonia (PR: 8) (E)
9. Kathryn Bigelow, A House of Dynamite (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Guillermo del Toro, Frankenstein (PR: 9) (-1)
Best Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (PR: 1) (E)
2. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value (PR: 2) (E)
3. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good (PR: 3) (E)
4. Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Emma Stone, Bugonia (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (PR: 6) (E)
7. Julia Roberts, After the Hunt (PR: 7) (E)
8. Jennifer Lawrence, Die, My Love (PR: 8) (E)
9. Tessa Thompson, Hedda (PR: 9) (E)
10. Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Sydney Sweeney, Christy
Best Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme (PR: 1) (E)
2. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another (PR: 2) (E)
3. Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 3) (E)
4. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners (PR: 4) (E)
5. George Clooney, Jay Kelly (PR: 6) (+1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Jesse Plemons, Bugonia (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent (PR: 9) (+2)
8. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Daniel Day-Lewis, Anemone (PR: 7) (-2)
10. Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine (PR: 8) (-2)
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Nominees:
1. Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)
2. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value (PR: 2) (E)
3. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another (PR: 3) (E)
4. Gwyneth Paltrow, Marty Supreme (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleass, Sentimental Value (PR: 4) (-2)
7. Amy Madigan, Weapons (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Jennifer Lopez, Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 10) (+2)
9. Emily Blunt, The Smashing Machine (PR: 6) (-3)
10. Glenn Close, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 9) (-1)
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Nominees:
1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)
2. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another (PR: 2) (E)
3. Paul Mescal, Hamnet (PR: 3) (E)
4. Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly (PR: 4) (E)
5. Jeremy Strong, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Delroy Lindo, Sinners (PR: 6) (E)
7. Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)
8. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Akira Emoto, Rental Family (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Jonathan Bailey, Wicked: For Good (PR: 10) (E)
Dropped Out:
Andrew Garfield, After the Hunt
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)
2. Sinners (PR: 2) (E)
3. Marty Supreme (PR: 3) (E)
4. Jay Kelly (PR: 4) (E)
5. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Sorry, Baby (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Is This Thing On? (PR: Not Ranked) – moved from Adapted Screenplay
8. Blue Moon (PR: 8) (E)
9. The Secret Agent (PR: 9) (E)
10. Rental Family (PR: 6) (-4)
Dropped Out:
A House of Dynamite
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Nominees:
1. One Battle After Another (PR: 1) (E)
2. Hamnet (PR: 2) (E)
3. Bugonia (PR: 3) (E)
4. No Other Choice (PR: 4) (E)
5. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 6) (E)
7. Train Dreams (PR: 10) (+3)
8. Wicked: For Good (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Frankenstein (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Hedda (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Is This Thing On? – moved to Original Screenplay
Best International Feature Film
Predicted Nominees:
1. Sentimental Value (PR: 1) (E)
2. It Was Just an Accident (PR: 2) (E)
3. No Other Choice (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Secret Agent (PR: 4) (E)
5. The Voice of Hind Rajab (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Sirât (PR: 6) (E)
7. Left-Handed Girl (PR: 8) (+1)
8. Sound of Falling (PR: 7) (-1)
9. The President’s Cake (PR: 9) (E)
10. The Love That Remains (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
My Father’s Shadow
Best Animated Feature
Predicted Nominees:
1. KPop Demon Hunters (PR: 1) (E)
2. Zootopia 2 (PR: 2) (E)
3. Arco (PR: 3) (E)
4. Elio (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Scarlet (PR: 7) (+1)
7. A Magnificent Life (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Ne Zha 2 (PR: 8) (E)
9. In Your Dreams (PR: 9) (E)
10. Animal Farm (PR: 10) (E)
Best Documentary Feature
Predicted Nominees:
1. The Perfect Neighbor (PR: 1) (E)
2. 2000 Meters to Andrivka (PR: 2) (E)
3. Mr. Nobody Against Putin (PR: 3) (E)
4. Cover-Up (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Seeds (PR: 6) (E)
7. Cutting Through Rocks (PR: 10) (+3)
8. The Eyes of Ghana (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Orwell: 2 + 2 = 5 (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Apocalypse in the Tropics (PR: 7) (-3)
Best Casting
Predicted Nominees:
1. One Battle After Another (PR: 2) (+1)
2. Sinners (PR: 2) (-1)
3. Sentimental Value (PR: 3) (E)
4. Wicked: For Good (PR: 6) (+2)
5. Jay Kelly (PR: 9) (+4)
Other Possibilities:
6. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Marty Supreme (PR: 4) (-3)
8. Hamnet (PR: 7) (-1)
9. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Rental Family (PR: 8) (-2)
Best Cinematography
Predicted Nominees:
1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)
2. One Battle After Another (PR: 3) (+1)
3. Hamnet (PR: 2) (-1)
4. Marty Supreme (PR: 5) (+1)
5. Frankenstein (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Jay Kelly (PR: 8) (+2)
7. The Testament of Ann Lee (PR: 10) (+3)
8. F1 (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Train Dreams (PR: 9) (E)
10. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 7) (-3)
Dropped Out:
Bugonia
Best Costume Design
Predicted Nominees:
1. Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)
2. Frankenstein (PR: 2) (E)
3. Sinners (PR: 3) (E)
4. Hamnet (PR: 4) (E)
5. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Marty Supreme (PR: 6) (E)
7. The Testament of Ann Lee (PR: 8) (+1)
8. One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Snow White (PR: 10) (+1)
10. Hedda (PR: 7) (-3)
Dropped Out:
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Best Film Editing
Predicted Nominees:
1. One Battle After Another (PR: 1) (E)
2. Sinners (PR: 2) (E)
3. Marty Supreme (PR: 3) (E)
4. Wicked: For Good (PR: 9) (+5)
5. Jay Kelly (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. No Other Choice (PR: 5) (-1)
7. A House of Dynamite (PR: 8) (+1)
8. F1 (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Hamnet (PR: 6) (-3)
10. Sentimental Value (PR: 7) (-3)
Dropped Out:
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Predicted Nominees:
1. Frankenstein (PR: 1) (E)
2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 2) (E)
3. Sinners (PR: 3) (E)
4. The Smashing Machine (PR: 4) (E)
5. 28 Years Later (PR: 5) (E)
Other Possibilities:
6. Bugonia (PR: 7) (+1)
7. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: 6) (-1)
8. One Battle After Another (PR: Not Ranked)
9. Wolf Man (PR: 8) (-1)
10. Weapons (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Marty Supreme
Hamnet
Best Original Score
Predicted Nominees:
1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)
2. One Battle After Another (PR: 2) (E)
3. Hamnet (PR: 3) (E)
4. Marty Supreme (PR: 7) (+3)
5. Jay Kelly (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Frankenstein (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Wicked: For Good (PR: 6) (-1)
8. The Testament of Ann Lee (PR: 9) (+1)
9. Sentimental Value (PR: Not Ranked)
10. A House of Dynamite (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Bugonia
After the Hunt
Best Original Song
Predicted Nominees:
1. “No Place Like Home” from Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)
2. “Golden” from KPop: Demon Hunters (PR: 2) (E)
3. “I Lied to You” from Sinners (PR: 3) (E)
4. “Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless (PR: 5) (+1)
5. “Clothed by the Sun” from The Testament of Ann Lee (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. “The Girl in the Bubble” from Wicked: For Good (PR: 4) (-2)
9. “Train Dreams” from Train Dreams (PR: Not Ranked)
10. “Give Your Love” from The Ballad of Wallis Island (PR: 8) (-2)
Dropped Out:
“Waiting on a Wish” from Snow White
Best Production Design
Predicted Nominees:
1. Wicked: For Good (PR: 1) (E)
2. Frankenstein (PR: 2) (E)
3. Sinners (PR: 6) (+3)
4. Hamnet (PR: 3) (-1)
5. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Marty Supreme (PR: 5) (-1)
7. One Battle After Another (PR: 7) (E)
8. The Testament of Ann Lee (PR: 8) (E)
9. Kiss of the Spider Woman (PR: Not Ranked)
10. Blue Moon (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Bugonia
The Phoenician Scheme
Best Sound
Predicted Nominees:
1. Sinners (PR: 1) (E)
2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 2) (E)
3. F1 (PR: 4) (+1)
4. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 3) (-1)
5. One Battle After Another (PR: 7) (+2)
Other Possibilities:
6. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (PR: 5) (-1)
7. Warfare (PR: 6) (-1)
8. Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (PR: 8) (E)
9. Frankenstein (PR: 10) (+1)
10. A House of Dynamite (PR: 9) (-1)
Best Visual Effects
Predicted Nominees:
1. Avatar: Fire and Ash (PR: 1) (E)
2. Wicked: For Good (PR: 2) (E)
3. Superman (PR: 3) (E)
4. F1 (PR: 5) (+1)
5. The Fantastic Four: First Steps (PR: 4) (-1)
Other Possibilities:
6. Tron: Ares (PR: 6) (E)
7. Frankenstein (PR: 7) (E)
8. Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (PR: 8) (E)
9. How to Train Your Dragon (PR: 10) (+1)
10. The Lost Bus (PR: Not Ranked)
Dropped Out:
Warfare
And that all equates to these movies receiving these numbers of nominations:
13 Nominations
Sinners
12 Nominations
One Battle After Another
11 Nominations
Wicked: For Good
9 Nominations
Hamnet
8 Nominations
Sentimental Value
7 Nominations
Jay Kelly, Marty Supreme
4 Nominations
Avatar: Fire and Ash, Frankenstein, It Was Just an Accident
3 Nominations
No Other Choice
2 Nominations
Bugonia, F1, KPop Demon Hunters, Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere, The Testament of Ann Lee
1 Nomination
28 Years Later, 2000 Meters to Andrivka, Arco, Cover-Up, Diane Warren: Relentless, Elio, The Fantastic Four: First Steps, Kiss of the Spider Woman, Little Amélie or the Character of Rain, Mr. Nobody Against Putin, The Perfect Neighbor, Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk, The Secret Agent, The Smashing Machine, Superman, The Voice of Hind Rajib, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery, Zootopia 2
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