Amy Poehler really (?!?!) pops up in 23rd for my all-time 50 SNLers countdown as the Upright Citizens Brigade alum wasted no time making her mark on the show. Highlights include plenty of material with Tina Fey and Maya Rudolph (particularly Bronx Beat) during a golden age of female cast members. Poehler replaced Jimmy Fallon as Fey’s Weekend Update coanchor in her fourth year. After Fey departed, she would handle Update duties with Seth Meyers that spawned the Really!?!? bits.
There was one-legged Amber and her take on Dakota Fanning hosting a chat program where she was hilariously condescending. She would famously play Hillary Clinton to Fey’s Sarah Palin shortly after both had departed the regular cast and just as Parks and Recreation was readying its run. #22 will be up soon!
Prior to taking over the Late Night and Tonight Show franchises, it was on SNL that Jimmy Fallon honed his skills. The Groundlings alum quickly established himself as a crowd favorite in a fertile era for the show with terrific impressions of Jerry Seinfeld, Robert De Niro, Regis Philbin, Mick Jagger, and even former SNL cast members Adam Sandler and Chris Rock. His talents perhaps shone brightest on The Barry Gibb Show portraying a mentally unbalanced version of The Bee Gees frontman alongside his brother Robin (Justin Timberlake), who never had anything to add.
Nearly halfway into his run, Fallon nabbed the Weekend Update desk spot alongside Tina Fey. It made for one of the strongest duos to deliver the fake news. Along the way, the future talk show host tried his best not to break during classic sketches such as “More Cowbell” and Debbie Downer’s visit to Disney. #23 will be up soon!
Andy Samberg has been a frequent presence on SNL’s 50th season as Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff in cold opens leading up to the election. It was his contributions to the show from 2005 to 2012 that have him kicking off the top 25 of my 50 all-time cast members.
His writing partners Akiva Schaffer and Jorma Taccone also deserve special mention. That trio made up The Lonely Island and are responsible for SNL Digital Shorts. These taped bits brought the sketch program into the internet age starting with “Lettuce” in which Will Forte and Samberg hilariously mull serious issues while chomping on heads of the title plant. Yet it the second Short “Lazy Sunday” with Samberg and Chris Parnell’s hardcore rapping about The Chronicles of Narnia that became a YouTube sensation just as that platform was becoming known to the populace.
Many uproarious Shorts followed. Natalie Portman and her hip hop skills? Check. Laser Cats and T-Pain on a boat? Double check. And, of course, a trio of iconic risquè numbers with Justin Timberlake. It’s also worth noting that Samberg did memorable Mark Zuckerberg and Nicolas Cage impressions. #24 will be up soon!
Nearly 25 years after Ridley Scott’s original epic stormed the box office and the Academy Awards, Gladiator II enters cinematic arenas on November 22nd. Paul Mescal stars as Lucius, son of Russell Crowe’s Maximus with Scott back in the director’s chair. Costars include Pedro Pascal, Joseph Quinn, Fred Hechinger, Derek Jacobi, Connie Nielsen (back as the sister to Joaquin Phoenix’s departed Commodus), and Denzel Washington (generating Oscar buzz for his role).
With a reported budget north of $200 million, the long-in-development sequel should capitalize on a quarter century of goodwill from the Best Picture winning part 1. Reviews are decent with 75% on Rotten Tomatoes and 67 on Metacritic.
The $60-$75 million forecast for its debut sounds about right. I am hesitant to take the over as some viewers may wait until the following Thanksgiving frame to make the multiplex trek. I’ll put it in the upper end of that range for a second place showing to Wicked.
Gladiator II opening weekend prediction: $69.8 million
Universal is banking on Wicked casting a spell on a wide audience when it debuts November 22nd. Based on the Stephen Schwartz musical, the fantasy set in the land of Oz comes from Crazy Rich Asians director Jon M. Chu. Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande headline with a supporting cast including Jonathan Bailey, Ethan Slater, Bowen Yang, Marissa Bode, Peter Dinklage, Michelle Yeoh, and Jeff Goldblum. The adaptation serves as part one with the sequel scheduled for November of 2025.
Expectations are high, especially after industry screenings that were met with Oscar buzz in Best Picture, Supporting Actress fo Grande, and numerous tech races. Moviegoers of all ages have familiarity with the Broadway show and, of course, The Wizard of Oz. There’s even some Barbenheimer chatter since it is opening on the same date as Gladiator II, which is also anticipated to perform well.
The forecasted range of its start is wide with some estimates less than $100 million, but going all the way up to $150 million. I’m skeptical it gets that high as some viewers may choose to wait until the extended Thanksgiving frame to check it out. Yet I do think it will easily clear nine digits out of the gate.
Dwayne Johnson and Chris Evans headline this weekend’s sole wide release with the Christmas action comedy Red One. It looks to dominate the charts with an eye on a lengthy holiday run. You can peruse my detailed prediction post on it here:
Early word-of-mouth is a bit troubling with a 30% Rotten Tomatoes score. I don’t think it gets to the top end of its anticipated range ($40 million). A mid to high 20s output would be considered a cold opening, but families may wait until later in the month to check it out.
Holdovers should all drop a notch as we await heavy hitters like Wicked, Gladiator II, and Moana 2. Venom: The Last Dance should dip to second after three weeks atop the charts. There’s a decent chance that The Best Christmas Pageant Ever stays in third as it might have a better sophomore hold than Heretic. The Wild Robot should round out the top five and here’s how I envision it breaking down:
1. Red One
Predicted Gross: $27.6 million
2. Venom: The Last Dance
Predicted Gross: $10.2 million
3. The Best Christmas Pageant Ever
Predicted Gross: $7.6 million
4. Heretic
Predicted Gross: $6.3 million
5. The Wild Robot
Predicted Gross: $5.5 million
Box Office Results (November 8-10)
Tom Hardy’s loopy third take on his comic book creation was #1 for a third frame as Venom: The Last Dance repeated with $15.9 million. That’s a bit ahead of my $14.3 million projection as the total is $114 million thus far. It won’t match its two predecessors, but it has posted solid holds weekend to weekend.
Horror thriller Heretic with Hugh Grant came in right where it was forecasted in second with $11 million (I said $11.2 million). Despite strong reviews, this certainly didn’t over perform and a so-so C+ Cinemascore could mean it fades fairly quickly.
Yuletide dramedy The Best Christmas Pageant Ever was third with $10.7 million, outpacing my $8 million call. This will hope for smallish declines as the festive season is just underway.
The Wild Robot was fourth with $6.6 million, edging my $5.5 million prediction. The potential Animated Feature Oscar frontrunner has collected $130 million after seven weeks.
Smile 2 was fifth with $5.1 million (I went with $4.4 million) as the horror sequel sits at $60 million in its four weeks of play.
Bill Murray had big and clumsy shoes to fill when he joined SNL in 1977. The Second City performer was essentially brought in to replace Chevy Chase, the show’s first breakout star who left for movie stardom.
It didn’t happen immediately as evidenced by a sketch in which Murray apologized to viewers for not being funny. Eventually, of course, he would hit his stride with characters like Nick the Lounge Singer and nerdy Todd alongside then girlfriend Gilda Radner. Murray would also make his mark at the Weekend Update desk.
If this seems a little low for Murray, I would maintain that his most inspired work came on the big screen after his show duties. If this was a list of greatest movie careers after SNL, he would be at the top or darn close to it. #25 will be up soon!
At the dawn of the 21st century, Ridley Scott’s epic Gladiator scored a colossal 12 Oscar nominations and won a handful including Best Picture, Actor (Russell Crowe), Costume Design, Sound, and Visual Effects. Other nods included Scott’s direction (he lost to Steven Soderbergh for Traffic), Supporting Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), and Original Screenplay.
Nearly a quarter century later, Gladiator II is in multiplexes November 22nd. Its battle for Academy recognition could be more challenging. Scott returns behind the camera with Paul Mescal leading a cast that includes Pedro Pascal, Joseph Quinn, Fred Hechinger, Connie Nielsen (reprising her role from part 1), and Denzel Washington.
As can sometimes be the case, initial screening reactions from the long-in-development sequel might have been a tad hyperbolic. The review embargo lifted today paints a clearer picture. The Rotten Tomatoes score is 78% with Metacritic at 67. Somewhat surprisingly, that’s in line with its predecessor’s numbers. Yet most critics say this doesn’t measure up to the original.
A Best Picture nom is not out of the question, but I’m currently projecting it won’t make the cut. Its strongest shot in BP will come if voters feel the need to throw at least a couple massive blockbusters in the mix. Dune: Part Two and Wicked (which opens the same day) could fit the bill. Mr. Scott’s direction and the screenplay are long shots. As for the down the line competitions, it could land mentions in Costume Design, Production Design, Sound, and Visual Effects. Original Score is possible but unlikely and I’d say the same for Cinematography. When it comes to wins in those tech derbies, it’ll have to contend with Dune which is in a better position for victories.
While Crowe and nemesis Joaquin Phoenix were both up for their performances at the 73rd ceremony, only Denzel Washington seems to be viable at the 97th. He’s being singled out for his work and could be headed toward nomination #10 in Supporting Actor. If he makes the final quintet, a win is probably not in the cards as I’d certainly put him behind Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) and Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) at press time. My Oscar Prediction posts will continue…
As Jason Reitman’s cinematic chronicle of Saturday Night Live‘s premiere episode recounted this fall, Billy Crystal was slated to perform in a sketch on October 11, 1975. However, Lorne Michaels cut that bit at the last minute.
Nine years later, Crystal was well-known due to the critically acclaimed sitcom Soap when NBC made him an offer he couldn’t refuse. This was the period when Michaels was away from his SNL producer duties and the show was looking to shake up the format. In 1984, Eddie Murphy’s departure had left a giant hole so producer Dick Ebersol brought in established performers like Crystal, Martin Short, and Christopher Guest to headline. The result was one of SNL’s strongest seasons.
From Fernando’s Hideaway to impersonations of Sammy Davis Jr. and Muhammad Ali to plenty of bits with Mr. Guest, Crystal shined in his one season. Unlike that evening nearly 50 years ago, he made his eventual short-lived time count. #26 will be up soon!
A year after her film debut in Pee Wee’s Big Adventure where she informed audiences that there’s no basement at the Alamo, the late great Jan Hooks joined one of the strongest SNL casts of all time in 1986. She stood out even among legends like Dana Carvey and Phil Hartman whether it was warbling alongside Nora Dunn as the Sweeney Sisters or as Kathie Lee to Carvey’s Regis.
Other memorable impressions include Tammy Faye Bakker, Nancy Reagan, Sinead O’Connor, and Bette Davis. That’s in addition to out there character creations like Brenda the Waitress in a terrific sketch with Alec Baldwin. #27 will be up soon!
All My Life... I Wanted To Be A Blogster 