The long Valentine’s/President’s Day weekend arrives with four new pictures looking for some audience lovin’. They are the 80s remake Robocop (out Wednesday), 80s remake About Last Night, 80s remake Endless Love, and Winter’s Tale. The latter three are all competing for the Valentine’s Day crowd while Robocop will skewer towards the dudes. You can find my prediction posts on all four here:
https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/robocop-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/about-last-night-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/winters-tale-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.com/2014/02/09/endless-love-box-office-prediction/
This quartet of flicks could all post decent numbers, but the story of the weekend is still likely to be The Lego Movie as it enters weekend #2. The animated pic opened to a massive $69 million generating the second largest February debut of all time. With terrific word-of-mouth, its gargantuan grosses should continue over the holiday frame.
Last weekend’s #2 The Monuments Men is likely to also experience the typical smallish decline that pictures experience on this particular holiday weekend.
I’ll branch my predictions out to the Top 6 and here’s the predictions for the weekend. Please note my predictions are for the Friday to Monday frame due to the holiday:
1. The Lego Movie
Predicted Gross: $54.2 million (representing a drop of 18%)
2. About Last Night
Predicted Gross: $36.8 million
3. Robocop
Predicted Gross: $24.9 million ($36.8M predicted for Wednesday to Monday)
4. Winter’s Tale
Predicted Gross: $18.4 million
5. Endless Love
Predicted Gross: $16.1 million
6. The Monuments Men
Predicted Gross: $15.1 million (representing a drop of 31%)
Box Office Results (February 7-9)
As already mentioned, The Lego Movie put together a HUGE BLOCKbuster opening (I’m sorry). Opening with $69 million, it went way beyond my $54.2M estimate. Coincidentally, my current prediction for the film’s second weekend is exactly what I predicted for its first.
Despite mostly negative reviews, George Clooney’s The Monuments Men was able to its translate its considerable star power to a solid $22 million debut, above my $16.1M prediction. I wrongly thought its weak reviews would hurt it and it didn’t.
As for the rest of the top five, Ride Along held up better than my prediction with $9.5 million (I said $6.9M) for third while Frozen was fourth with $6.8 million – right on pace with my $6.6M projection. Lone Survivor, which I didn’t predict for the top five, was fifth with $5.5 million.
The real loser over the weekend was Vampire Academy, which totally bombed with only $3.9 million – considerably below my $8.4M estimate.
As always, I’ll have updates posted on the blog’s Facebook page throughout the weekend with final results Tuesday because of the long weekend!
All My Life... I Wanted To Be A Blogster 