The critically acclaimed child abduction drama Prisoners with Hugh Jackman and Jake Gyllenhall and the Chris Brown urban dance flick Battle of the Year both open this weekend. One of them could be an awards contender. I’ll leave you hanging as to which one.
You can find my prediction posts on each right here:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/15/prisoners-box-office-prediction/
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/15/battle-of-the-year-box-office-prediction/
Prisoners may find itself in a tight race with this weekend’s champ Insidious: Chapter 2 for the top spot. I’m predicting the Insidious sequel will have a large drop in its sophomore frame, which is normal for horror flicks. This should allow Prisoners to win the weekend. Of course, that’s barring a bigger than expected opening for Battle of the Year. Don’t reject the idea out of hand. Urban dance pics have a history of impressive debuts, but this one seems to be flying under the radar. Last weekend’s #2 The Family with Robert De Niro had a decent opening but should fall hard in its second weekend. The Butler and We’re the Millers should compete for the five spot with nearly identical grosses.
And with that, my best guess for this coming weekend’s top five:
1. Prisoners
Predicted Gross: $18.4 milion
2. Insidious: Chapter 2
Predicted Gross: $15.9 million (representing a drop of 60%)
3. Battle of the Year
Predicted Gross: $10.3 million
4. The Family
Predicted Gross: $6.4 million (representing a drop of 54%)
5. We’re the Millers
Predicted Gross: $3.8 million (representing a drop of 31%)
That’s all for now, folks! Updates will be posted on the Facebook page Saturday as grosses start to roll in with a final report Sunday on the blog.
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