The weekend after Labor Day marks the official start of the fall movie season and this is typically one of the most unexciting and lowest grossing weekends of the year. 2013 looks to be no different. There is only one new wide release, Riddick with Vin Diesel which marks the third entry in a franchise that began thirteen years ago. It’s been nearly a decade since the second film The Chronicles of Riddick. I made my prediction post for Riddick at the following link:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/09/02/riddick-box-office-prediction/
Riddick should easily win the weekend barring a shockingly low gross. As for the rest of the top ten, it’s all leftovers. I’m predicting the rest of the top five won’t even reach double digits. Of the holdovers, I would expect One Direction: This Is Us to have the largest drop. These types of concert pictures often have healthy debut weekends and significant falls in their second frame. Labor Day weekend’s surprise film was Instructions Not Included, which seemingly came out of nowhere grossing over $10 million over the holiday frame on only 347 screens. That marks the largest Spanish language pic opening ever domestically and it will likely have the smallest drop and remain in the top five.
And with that, my predictions for this weekend’s top five:
1. Riddick
Predicted Gross: $23.4 million
2. Lee Daniels’ The Butler
Predicted Gross: $9.5 million (representing a drop of 36%)
3. We’re the Millers
Predicted Gross: $7.8 million (representing a drop of 39%)
4. One Direction: This Is Us
Predicted Gross: $6.6 million (representing a drop of 58%)
5. Instructions Not Included
Predicted Gross: $5.6 million (representing a drop of 26%)
Be sure to check back on the blog’s Facebook page this weekend for updates and Sunday on the blog for results!
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