Box Office Predictions: June 7-9

Two new entries join the box office fray this weekend to compete with the third weekend of the massive sixth Fast&Furious pic and the second weekend of the surprise hit Now You See Me, as well as the Will Smith bomb After Earth.

I am predicting our two newcomers will open 1st and 2nd. With the Ethan Hawke thriller The Purge, I am predicting above expectations and sticking with it. My extensive blog post on that pic can be found here:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/06/03/the-purge-box-office-prediction/

Vince Vaughn and Owen Wilson reunite for The Internship. I’m not expecting Wedding Crashers numbers, but am predicting a respectable opening. My full post outlining its prospects is available here:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/06/03/the-internship-box-office-prediction/

As for holdovers, Fast&Furious 6 will likely not experience the over 60 percent drop it received its sophomore weekend after a mammoth opening. I look for it to dip a tad above 50%. Now You See Me opened #2 last weekend with a much bigger than anticipated $29 million. With solid word of mouth, this may not dip below 50%, which would be a terrific hold. And, lastly, the Will/Jaden Smith sci-fi flick After Earth debuted last weekend with a very disappointing $27 million. Pretty much all buzz since its opening has been highly negative. A major drop seems assured.

And with that, my top five predictions for the weekend:

1. The Purge

Predicted Gross: $24.9 million

2. The Internship

Predicted Gross: $20.7 million

3. Fast&Furious 6

Predicted Gross: $16.4 million (representing a drop of 54%)

4. Now You See Me

Predicted Gross: $15.8 million (representing a drop of 46%)

5. After Earth

Predicted Gross: $9.5 million (representing a drop of 65%)

As always, I’ll have updates posted on the Facebook page this weekend and full results Sunday on the blog!

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