Box Office Predictions: Memorial Day Weekend 2013

Well, folks, we’ve arrived at my Top Five Box Office Predictions for one of the most confusing and wild weekends I can ever recall.

Why?

Well, we have two huge releases Fast and Furious 6 and The Hangover Part III opening opposite each other. And we have Fox’s animated Epic which may have a hefty debut as well. I wrote separate blog posts on all three major openings with my predictions:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/05/19/the-hangover-part-iii-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/05/20/fastfurious-6-box-office-prediction/

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/epic-box-office-prediction/

We’ve got the second weekend of Star Trek Into Darkness, which debuted below expectations last weekend with $83.7 million. It was expected to make over $100 million. And we’ve still got Tony Stark and Gatsby out there. Can you say crowded marketplace?

I’ve extensively discussed what I think will happen in the posts above. Bottom line: I look for Vin Diesel, The Rock, and his Fast cohorts to dominate The Hangover‘s Wolf Pack. I expect Epic to have a solid debut.

And I look for Star Trek to lose about half its audience and continue its surprisingly unremarkable returns. Iron Man 3 should round out the top five. It’s worth noting that Hangover opens Thursday, while Fast and Epic debut Friday. My Top Five projections are my Friday-Monday (Memorial Day) predictions, but I’ve factored in my full five-day Hangover prediction. Got that? Yeah, it’s confusing.

MEMORIAL DAY 2013 BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS

1. Fast&Furious 6

Predicted Gross: $106.8 million

2. The Hangover Part III

Predicted Gross: $60.3 million ($77.4 million projected five-day opening)

3. Epic

Predicted Gross: $45.5 million

4. Star Trek Into Darkness

Predicted Gross: $41 million

5. Iron Man 3

Predicted Gross: $21.7 million

I’ll be updating the Facebook page throughout the long weekend with results and Monday on the blog with final results. I will readily admit – this has been the toughest weekend since I started the blog to predict results. We’ll see what happens.