JJ Abrams eagerly awaited Star Trek Into Darkness blasts into theaters this weekend. Opening on Thursday, I wrote a detailed blog post Monday in which I predicted its four-day take will bring in over $100 million. That post can be found here:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/05/13/star-trek-into-darkness-box-office-prediction/
Captain Kirk and company should have no problem whatsoever debuting atop the box office. Last weekend’s #1 and #2 Iron Man 3 and The Great Gatsby, both huge hits, are likely to see drops close to the 50% range. It will be interesting in particular to see how Gatsby performs in its sophomore weekend. While the picture had a massive $50M opening, it earned a fairly weak B Cinemascore grade. Still, it’s the only title out there marketing to the female audience.
Rounding out the top five, Pain and Gain and 42 are bringing in considerably smaller grosses than the top 3 and are likely to see smaller declines.
And with that, my predictions for this weekend’s Top Five:
1. Star Trek Into Darkness
Predicted Gross: $106.2 million (over Thursday-Sunday)
All remaining predictions are for Friday to Sunday frame:
2. Iron Man 3
Predicted Gross: $37.3 million (representing a drop of 47%)
3. The Great Gatsby
Predicted Gross: $25.6 million (representing a drop of 49%)
4. Pain and Gain
Predicted Gross: $3.4 million (representing a drop of 33%)
5. 42
Predicted Gross: $3.3 million (representing a drop of 30%)
That’s all for now, but on Saturday I’ll have early results for how things are shaping up. And, of course, there will be a full report Sunday on the blog!
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