Well, when you’re wrong – you’re wrong and I was all kinds of wrong in multiple ways this weekend with my box office predictions. I didn’t give some movies enough credit and for others, I gave them way too much credit.
As expected, Iron Man 3 remained at #1 in its sophomore weekend, but fell further than I predicted. The Tony Stark adventure grossed $72.5 million for a 58% drop. I predicted it’d do $83.9M and experience a smaller decline. Still, IM3 is still poised to be the biggest earner of the summer and possibly the year.
The Great Gatsby outperformed nearly all expectations, including my own. The Leo DiCaprio flick grossed a terrific $51.1 million, well above my $41.3M projection. With a so-so B Cinemascore grade, Gatsby could experience hefty declines in coming weekends, but it’s still the only pic out there marketing towards the female audience.
I was way off with Tyler Perry Presents Peeples. I figured Perry’s name alone would bring in his audience. That did not happen. I predicted a solid opening of $18.5 million. Peeples was a total bomb, earning only $4.9 million for a fourth place showing. Whoops. With a weak B- Cinemascore grade, expect Peeples to be presented to DVD in short order.
Pain and Gain was third in its third weekend with $5 million, above my $3.3M projection. 42 was fifth with $4.7 million, higher than my $3.6M prediction.
Not a great weekend of predictin’ this time around, but I’ll try to do better tomorrow when I make my projection for next weekend’s big opener, Star Trek Into Darkness. My full Top Five predictions come Wednesday on the blog. Stay tuned!
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