The second weekend of the 2013 Summer Box Office season continues with two new entries, The Great Gatsby and Tyler Perry Presents Peeples.
On Monday, I wrote an extensive post outlining my Gatsby prediction which can be read here:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/05/06/the-great-gatsby-box-office-prediction/
Yesterday, Tyler Perry Presents Peeples got the similar blog prediction treatment which can be read here:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/05/07/tyler-perry-presents-peeples-box-office-prediction/
The new films are highly likely to open at numbers 2 and 3 over the weekend. There is really no doubt that last weekend’s champ Iron Man 3 will remain #1 by a wide margin. The big question is: how far will it drop? The Marvel adventure had the second largest opening weekend of all time with $174.1 million. Its opening is second only to last summer’s The Avengers, which debuted with $207 million and dropped 50% in its sophomore frame. That’s a terrific hold for such a gargantuan debut and Disney/Marvel would love to see a similar hold here. With a great “A” Cinemascore grade, a drop of only half could occur, though I’ll predict it falls a little bit more.
The top five is likely to be rounded out by holdovers 42 and Pain and Gain. With that, my predictions for this weekend’s Top Five:
1. Iron Man 3
Predicted Gross: $83.9 million (representing a drop of 54%)
2. The Great Gatsby
Predicted Gross: $41.3 million
3. Tyler Perry Presents Peeples
Predicted Gross: $18.5 million
4. 42
Predicted Gross: $3.6 million (representing a drop of 41%)
5. Pain and Gain
Predicted Gross: $3.3 million (representing a drop of 57%)
As always, updates will be posted on the Facebook page on Saturday with final results Sunday on the blog.
And if you think I’m wrong about the Gatsby and Peeples openings, I invite you to check out http://www.boxofficeace.com where you can compete against me with your own predictions.
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