Box Office Predictions: May 3-5

It’s all about Iron Man 3 this weekend at the box office as the Summer 2013 Movie Season officially begins. On Sunday, I wrote an extensive post in which I boldly predicted the film will have the second biggest US opening of all time after last summer’s The Avengers. That post can be found here:

https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/04/28/iron-man-3-box-office-prediction/

All other titles should experience falls between the mid 40s-mid 50s percentage range, with the likely exception of The Croods, which has experienced smaller declines week to week. Last weekend’s #1 and #2, Pain and Gain and Oblivion, have been met with mixed reaction from audiences. Pain and Gain disappointed in its opening last weekend with $20 million and its C+ Cinemascore grade would indicate a precipitous drop, especially with Tony Stark arriving on scene.

That said, here’s my predictions for the weekend’s top five:

1. Iron Man 3

Predicted Gross: $172.4 million

2. Pain and Gain

Predicted Gross: $8.9 million (representing a drop of 55%)

3. Oblivion

Predicted Gross: $8.1 million (representing a drop of 54%)

4. 42

Predicted Gross: $6 million (representing a drop of 44%)

5. The Croods

Predicted Gross: $4.3 million (representing a drop of 34%)

Check back this weekend on the Facebook page for updates on how Tony Stark and friends are doing and, of course, on the blog Sunday for final results.