Mark Wahlberg and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson look to nab the top spot at the box office this weekend with Pain and Gain. On Monday, I wrote a post outlining my thoughts on how it’ll open. The full rundown is linked below and I’m projecting a $23.8 million debut.
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/04/22/pain-and-gain-box-office-prediction/
The weekend’s other newbie is The Big Wedding, with its all-star cast. Again, my Monday post on its box office viability is linked below. I’m going with $11.2 million.
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/04/22/the-big-wedding-box-office-prediction/
As for the holdovers, the big question is how well Tom Cruise’s Oblivion holds up in its second weekend. It opened last weekend to an impressive $37 million debut. There are some signs of trouble brewing: it received a weak B- Cinemascore grade and it now has direct competition for the male audience with Pain. A drop of over 50% is a strong possibility.
42 and The Croods should experience relatively minimal declines and remain in the top five. And with that, my predictions for the last weekend before the BIG summer movies start rolling out:
1. Pain and Gain
Predicted Gross: $23.8 million
2. Oblivion
Predicted Gross: $17.3 million (representing a drop of 53%)
3. 42
Predicted Gross: $11.5 million (representing a drop of 34%)
4. The Big Wedding
Predicted Gross: $11.2 million
5. The Croods
Predicted Gross: $6.5 million (representing a drop of 31%)
Updates will be posted throughout the weekend with the full wrap-up Sunday!
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