**Blogger’s Note: This post has been updated on the evening of Thursday, April 18th to reflect my weekend prediction for The Place Beyond the Pines, which expands to over 1500 theaters tomorrow. I was not aware of that wide a count until this evening and my predictions reflects its expansion and predicted inclusion in the Top Five for this weekend.
Only one new wide release this weekend and it’s a major one – the Tom Cruise sci-fi thriller Oblivion. On Monday, I wrote a post outlining my prediction for the film, which can be found here:
https://toddmthatcher.wordpress.com/2013/04/15/oblivion-box-office-prediction/
With no new offerings this weekend, that only leaves the question of how holdovers will maintain. And the news is probably very good for last weekend’s champ, 42. The Jackie Robinson biopic had a higher than expected opening at $27.5 million last weekend. With a remarkable A+ Cinemascore grade, I look for the picture to hold up quite well in its sophomore weekend. And, frankly, moviegoers may simply be in the mood for something uplifting after this difficult week.
The same cannot be said for Scary Movie V, which bombed last weekend with an embarrassing $14.2 million debut. A hefty drop looks to be in order.
The Place Beyond the Pines with Bradley Cooper and Ryan Gosling has been performing well in limited release. This weekend, it expands to over 1500 screens and has an excellent shot at entering the Top Five.
Finally, The Croods and G.I. Joe: Retaliation should experience similar declines to what they’ve experienced in recent weekends.
And with that, my predictions for this weekend’s top five:
1. Oblivion
Predicted Gross: $32.8 million
2. 42
Predicted Gross: $19.7 million (representing a drop of 28%)
3. The Croods
Predicted Gross: $8 million (representing a drop of 39%)
4. The Place Beyond the Pines
Predicted Gross: $6.4 million
5. Scary Movie V
Predicted Gross: $5.7 million (representing a drop of 60%)
As always, updates will be posted this weekend!
All My Life... I Wanted To Be A Blogster 