Oscar Predictions: What/Who Will Win? (Part 1)

Now that the Oscar nominations have been out and I’ve posted my reactions a few days ago, we begin a feature in which I post where I think the six biggest categories currently stand. I will list each category and number the nominees in order of what I believe their chances of winning are. Here we go:

BEST PICTURE

Lincoln appears to be the frontrunner at this point, especially with Zero Dark Thirty, Argo, and Les Miserables not receiving nominations for their directors. The competition for Lincoln appears to be Life of Pi and possibly Silver Linings Playbook at this juncture.

1. Lincoln

2. Life of Pi

3. Silver Linings Playbook

4. Argo

5. Zero Dark Thirty

6. Les Miserables

7. Beasts of the Southern Wild

8. Django Unchained

9. Amour

BEST DIRECTOR

The Best Picture winner and Best Director tend to match up, but not always. We’ll leave Spielberg at the top, but I think there’s a very real chance of Ang Lee getting recognized for Life of Pi.

1. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

2. Ang Lee, Life of Pi

3. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

4. Michael Haneke, Amour

5. Benh Zietlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

BEST ACTOR

Daniel Day-Lewis is the clear and overwhelming favorite in the category. Anyone else winning would be a major surprise.

1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

2. Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

3. Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

4. Denzel Washington, Flight

5. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

BEST ACTRESS

Still continues to be a real race between Chastain and Lawrence. They seem to have about an equal chance of winning at this point, but I’ll give an ever so slight edge to Chastain. Subject to change for sure.

1. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

2. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

3. Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

4. Naomi Watts, The Impossible

5. Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Truly a tough call. I honestly wouldn’t be overly shocked if any of these nominees end up winning. Waltz winning the Golden Globe was a bit of a surprise and helped his possibilities. For now, I’ll say the success of Lincoln propels Jones.

1. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

2. Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

3. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

4. Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

5. Alan Arkin, Argo

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Like the Best Actor race, we have a solid frontrunner here: Hathaway. Field has a shot, but it’s unlikely.

1. Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

2. Sally Field, Lincoln

3. Helen Hunt, The Sessions

4. Amy Adams, The Master

5. Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

That’s all for now folks!