Box Office Predictions: Weekend of December 7-9

In what is sure to be another very slow weekend at the box office (just like last weekend’s post Thanksgiving frame), there is only one new entry opening: the romantic comedy Playing for Keeps, starring Gerard Butler. The film, quite honestly, looks indistinguishable from most other bad romantic comedies and it sits at precisely 0% on RottenTomatoes. Wow. Do not expect this one to do much business.

Or much of anything else for that matter. The top five films from last weekend could very likely be the top five again. Do not expect any of them to have the percentage drop-off they had last weekend, when most films tumble from the huge Thanksgiving frame. It appears that those movies may be tightly bunched together with what they make during this slow weekend, which makes it somewhat interesting to predict what #1 will be.

Next weekend is when the real Christmas box office battles heat up, with The Hobbit opening and a number of other high-profile flicks to follow right before Christmas or on the holiday. Until then, it’s still leftovers and an awful looking new rom-com.

With that, here’s my official predictions for the close race:

1. Skyfall

Predicted Gross: $8.5 million (representing a drop of 49%)

2. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2

Predicted Gross: $8.2 million (representing a drop of 54%)

3. Rise of the Guardians

Predicted Gross: $7.8 million (representing a drop of 42%)

4. Lincoln

Predicted Gross: $7.4 million (representing a drop of 45%)

5. Life of Pi

Predicted Gross: $7.3 million (representing a drop of 40%)

6. Playing for Keeps

Predicted Gross: $7 million

Official results will come Sunday.

 

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